Prediction: Colo Colo vs Deportes Recoleta
Expected goals: 3.18 (Colo Colo 2.49 · Deportes Recoleta 0.68). The model gives 77% home, 16% draw, 8% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Colo Colo with 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Deportes Recoleta has piled up 1-5-4 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Colo Colo and 0 for Deportes Recoleta.
| Colo Colo | Draw | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1569 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 1–0–0 Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Chile Cup | Deportes Recoleta | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Deportes Recoleta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Union Espanola | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs Deportes Recoleta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (77%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 77%, draw 16%, Deportes Recoleta 8%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Colo Colo 2.49 · Deportes Recoleta 0.68), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.