Football · Chile Cup · 07/07, 01:30

Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco

Expected goals: 2.78 (Deportes Concepcion 1.53 · Deportes Temuco 1.25). The model gives 43% home, 28% draw, 30% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Deportes Concepcion sits at 4-1-5 (W-D-L), while Deportes Temuco arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Concepcion won 1 and Deportes Temuco 3, with 2 draws.

43%1
43% 28% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Concepcion 1487 · Deportes Temuco 1507
Deportes ConcepcionDrawDeportes Temuco
Our model43%27%30%
Market43%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.78Deportes Concepcion 1.53 · Deportes Temuco 1.25
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportes Temuco: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes ConcepcionDeportes Temuco
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.71.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.62.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.33.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 123 Deportes Temuco

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Chile Cup
Deportes Temuco1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Concepcion
13/07/25
Chile Primera B
Deportes Temuco2-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Concepcion
22/02/25
Chile Primera B
Deportes Concepcion2-2
HT 0-0
Deportes Temuco
27/03/16
Chile Primera B
Deportes Concepcion2-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Temuco
25/10/15
Chile Primera B
Deportes Temuco3-1
HT 2-1
Deportes Concepcion
25/04/15
Chile Primera B
Deportes Temuco3-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Concepcion

Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group H

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Puerto Montt 4211 637
2 Deportes Concepcion 4211 667
3 Deportes Temuco 4121 455
4 Huachipato 4103 573

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes ConcepcionDeportes Temuco
Huachipato 2-1 W 0-2 L
Puerto Montt 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Concepcion

LLWLLWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-1 2-1 23 W
29/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 75 L
25/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
1-0 3-2 17 W
21/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-1 1-1 75 D
14/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-2 71 W
06/06 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-2 85 L
30/05 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 1-2 110 L
24/05 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 56 W
18/05 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-2 43 L
09/05 Colo Colo
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-3 41 L

Deportes Temuco

LWDLWWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-1 0-2 73 L
21/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
1-1 1-1 55 D
09/06 Curico Unido
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 76 L
31/05 San Marcos De Arica
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 25 W
24/05 Union San Felipe
Chile Primera B
2-0 5-0 51 W
19/05 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
2-2 3-2 54 W
09/05 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-1 86 L
03/05 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
1-2 2-2 42 D
26/04 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
0-0 2-1 43 W
21/04 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Concepcion win (43%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 43%, draw 28%, Deportes Temuco 30%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.53 · Deportes Temuco 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs Deportes Temuco?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.