Football · Brazil Serie B · 14/11, 20:30
Prediction: Criciuma vs Gremio Novorizontino
Team pages: Criciuma · Gremio Novorizontino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Criciuma1.16
Gremio Novorizontino1.06
1X2
Criciuma
Draw
Gremio Novorizontino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Criciuma
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Gremio Novorizontino
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criciuma
2–1–3
Gremio Novorizontino
(6 last)
- Gremio Novorizontino0-1Criciuma
- Criciuma2-0Gremio Novorizontino
- Gremio Novorizontino1-1Criciuma
- Gremio Novorizontino2-0Criciuma
- Criciuma0-1Gremio Novorizontino
- Gremio Novorizontino3-1Criciuma
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio Novorizontino (rating 1516 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Gremio Novorizontino: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criciuma | Gremio Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.4 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 2–1–3 Gremio Novorizontino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Criciuma |
| 23/08/25 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 22/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
| 25/11/23 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Criciuma |
| 22/07/23 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 14/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Criciuma |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66 | 32 | 70 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 41 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 55 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | 54 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo SP | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 42 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 32 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 49 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45 | 58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criciuma | Gremio Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ceara | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Operario PR | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Atletico GO | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gremio Novorizontino (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criciuma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/10 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 24/10 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/10 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 17 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
Gremio Novorizontino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 24/10 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/10 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/10 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/10 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criciuma vs Gremio Novorizontino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criciuma win (37%). Probabilities: Criciuma 37%, draw 32%, Gremio Novorizontino 32%.
How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs Gremio Novorizontino?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Criciuma 1.16 · Gremio Novorizontino 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Gremio Novorizontino?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.