Football · Brazil Serie B · 14/11, 20:30

Prediction: Sport Recife vs Goias

Team pages: Sport Recife · Goias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Sport Recife1.41

Goias1.25

1X2

39% 28% 32%

Sport Recife Draw Goias

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Recife 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDLWDL

Goias 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Sport Recife 1–2–3 Goias (6 last)

Goias1-1Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-1Goias
Goias3-0Sport Recife
Goias1-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife2-1Goias
Goias1-0Sport Recife

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Goias: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Recife	Goias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.94

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.24 → 2.26▲	Pinn 2.26
X	3.87 → 3.92▲	Pinn 3.92
2	2.72 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.75

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +17’	2.24	3.87	2.72
00:49 +17’	2.26▲	3.92▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Recife 1–2–3 Goias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-1 HT 0-1	Sport Recife
19/09/24 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-1 HT 1-1	Goias
01/06/24 Brazil Serie B	Goias	3-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
26/12/20 Brazil Serie A	Goias	1-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
07/09/20 Brazil Serie A	Sport Recife	2-1 HT 0-0	Goias
11/09/15 Brazil Serie A	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	Sport Recife

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gremio Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66	32	70
2	EC Juventude	37	19	11	7	49	26	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53	38	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38	31	62
5	Fortaleza	37	16	14	7	44	33	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57	51	58
7	Goias	36	16	7	13	38	41	55
8	Atletico GO	36	14	13	9	42	33	55
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50	42	55
10	Operario PR	37	15	9	13	49	50	54
11	Sao Bernardo SP	37	14	10	13	52	42	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45	39	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34	32	47
14	Athletic Club MG	36	11	14	11	42	41	47
15	Nautico	37	12	10	15	40	49	46
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38	46	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35	47	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45	58	32
19	America MG	36	7	5	24	26	55	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21	78	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Recife	Goias
Operario PR	2-3 L	2-0 W
Botafogo SP	1-1 D	3-1 W
Atletico GO	1-1 D	0-1 L
Athletic Club MG	2-1 W	2-1 W
Nautico	1-3 L	0-0 D
CRB	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Goias (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Recife

LWLWWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-2	2-3	6	8	L
31/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	0	1	D
24/10	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
17/10	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
11/10	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
26/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	9	2	L
19/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
16/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	6	L

Goias

LWWLLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	CRB Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
28/10	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
20/10	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	13	2	D
11/10	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
07/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
02/10	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
26/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
20/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	8	8	W
15/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-1	7	7	W
11/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Recife vs Goias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife win (39%). Probabilities: Sport Recife 39%, draw 28%, Goias 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Goias?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Sport Recife 1.41 · Goias 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Goias?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.