Football · Brazil Serie B · 06/11, 23:30

Prediction: Operario PR vs Sport Recife

Team pages: Operario PR · Sport Recife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Operario PR1.53

Sport Recife1.35

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Operario PR Draw Sport Recife

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Operario PR 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Sport Recife 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Operario PR 2–2–2 Sport Recife (6 last)

Sport Recife2-2Operario PR
Operario PR2-1Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-2Operario PR
Sport Recife5-1Operario PR
Operario PR0-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife3-1Operario PR

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Operario PR	Sport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.39 → 2.41▲	Pinn 2.41
X	3.27 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.30
2	2.95 → 2.98▲	Pinn 2.98

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:47 +25’	2.39	3.27	2.95
23:56 +15’	2.41▲	3.30▲	2.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 2–2–2 Sport Recife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	2-2 HT 1-1	Operario PR
04/11/24 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	2-1 HT 0-1	Sport Recife
17/10/24 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-2 HT 1-1	Operario PR
29/10/22 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	5-1 HT 3-0	Operario PR
14/07/22 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Recife
29/09/19 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	3-1 HT 1-0	Operario PR

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	36	18	11	7	47	25	65
2	Gremio Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62	30	64
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52	38	63
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38	30	62
5	Fortaleza	35	16	13	6	43	31	61
6	CRB	35	16	7	12	53	49	55
7	Sport Recife	36	14	13	9	48	39	55
8	Atletico GO	35	14	12	9	42	33	54
9	Goias	35	15	7	13	36	40	52
10	Operario PR	35	14	9	12	45	46	51
11	Sao Bernardo SP	35	13	10	12	49	39	49
12	Botafogo SP	36	13	9	14	41	39	48
13	Cuiaba	35	11	14	10	32	28	47
14	Nautico	36	12	10	14	40	46	46
15	Athletic Club MG	35	10	14	11	40	40	44
16	Ceara	35	11	10	14	37	44	43
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33	46	37
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45	54	32
19	America MG	36	7	5	24	26	55	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21	78	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Operario PR	Sport Recife
Athletic Club MG	1-0 W	2-1 W
Botafogo SP	1-2 L	1-1 D
EC Juventude	0-3 L	2-1 W
Criciuma	2-0 W	2-1 W
Nautico	3-3 D	1-3 L
CRB	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Operario PR (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Operario PR

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
17/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
11/10	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-2	14	2	L
08/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
03/10	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W

Sport Recife

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	0	1	D
24/10	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
17/10	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
11/10	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
26/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	9	2	L
19/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
16/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
11/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Sport Recife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (40%). Probabilities: Operario PR 40%, draw 27%, Sport Recife 33%.

How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Operario PR 1.53 · Sport Recife 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Sport Recife?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.