Football · Finland Kolmonen · 09/09, 17:30
Prediction: KPV Akatemia vs Nykarleby IK
Team pages: KPV Akatemia · Nykarleby IK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
KPV Akatemia2.16
Nykarleby IK1.85
1X2
KPV Akatemia
Draw
Nykarleby IK
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
KPV Akatemia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Nykarleby IK
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KPV Akatemia
5–1
Nykarleby IK
(6 last)
- Nykarleby IK2-1KPV Akatemia
- KPV Akatemia2-0Nykarleby IK
- KPV Akatemia4-0Nykarleby IK
- Nykarleby IK0-2KPV Akatemia
- Nykarleby IK0-1KPV Akatemia
- KPV Akatemia8-0Nykarleby IK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KPV Akatemia 1470 · Nykarleby IK 1449
| KPV Akatemia | Draw | Nykarleby IK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 46% | 21% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours KPV Akatemia: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KPV Akatemia | Nykarleby IK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/38/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV Akatemia 5–0–1 Nykarleby IK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 2-1 HT 1-1 | KPV Akatemia |
| 09/05/23 Finland Kolmonen | KPV Akatemia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nykarleby IK |
| 27/08/22 Finland Kolmonen | KPV Akatemia | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Nykarleby IK |
| 02/06/22 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 0-2 HT 0-2 | KPV Akatemia |
| 17/07/21 Finland Kolmonen | Nykarleby IK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | KPV Akatemia |
| 22/08/20 Finland Kolmonen | KPV Akatemia | 8-0 HT 4-0 | Nykarleby IK |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 31 |
| 3 | SIF | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Ylivieska | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 39 | 27 |
| 5 | Virkia | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | SJK-j | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 7 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 8 | Sporting Kristina | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 22 |
| 9 | LBK | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 49 | 19 |
| 10 | Nykarleby IK | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 16 |
| 11 | KPV Akatemia | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 52 | 13 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KPV Akatemia | Nykarleby IK |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kristina | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| VIFK | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Kiisto | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| LBK | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Virkia | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| SJK-j | 3-6 L | 1-2 L |
| SIF | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Ylivieska | 5-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KPV Akatemia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/07 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-3 | 1 | 7 | W |
Nykarleby IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/08 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KPV Akatemia vs Nykarleby IK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KPV Akatemia win (45%). Probabilities: KPV Akatemia 45%, draw 21%, Nykarleby IK 34%.
How many goals are expected in KPV Akatemia vs Nykarleby IK?
The model expects 4.01 goals (KPV Akatemia 2.16 · Nykarleby IK 1.85), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in KPV Akatemia vs Nykarleby IK?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.