Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/07, 17:30

Prediction: KeuPa vs FC Vaajakoski II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.58Total
KeuPa3.04
FC Vaajakoski II1.53
1X2
67% 16% 16%
KeuPa Draw FC Vaajakoski II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
KeuPa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDDWLLLW
FC Vaajakoski II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLLLWL
Head-to-head
KeuPa 0–1–0 FC Vaajakoski II (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KeuPa 1495 · FC Vaajakoski II 1430
KeuPaDrawFC Vaajakoski II
Our model67%16%16%
Market67%16%16%
Estimated total (ours) 4.58 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KeuPa (rating 1495 vs 1430).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KeuPaFC Vaajakoski II
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.31.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.60.5 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/29/71%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 50.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.11 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · KeuPa 010 FC Vaajakoski II

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
FC Vaajakoski II2-2KeuPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 10730 30724
2 FCJ Blackbird 10532 281918
3 FC Metso 10532 231518
4 JJK/2 8404 202112
5 Komeetat 10316 152010
6 KeuPa 9243 142010
7 Savon Pallo 10316 182610
8 FC Vaajakoski II 11218 15357

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKeuPaFC Vaajakoski II
FC Metso 1-0 W 1-3 L
JPS 0-3 L 0-3 L
JJK/2 3-5 L 2-3 L
FCJ Blackbird 0-3 L 4-1 W
Komeetat 2-1 W 1-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KeuPa

DWDDDWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 23 W
24/06 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 30 L
17/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 3-5 72 L
12/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 42 L
05/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 46 W
20/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
15/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
08/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
29/04 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 4-3 101 W
24/04 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 3-3 51 D

FC Vaajakoski II

WLLDLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
25/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
17/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-5 31 L
12/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 2-4 74 L
02/06 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 40 L
28/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-3 21 L
20/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
15/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-6 L
08/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
1-6 L
29/04 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KeuPa vs FC Vaajakoski II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KeuPa win (67%). Probabilities: KeuPa 67%, draw 16%, FC Vaajakoski II 16%.

How many goals are expected in KeuPa vs FC Vaajakoski II?

The model expects 4.58 goals (KeuPa 3.04 · FC Vaajakoski II 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KeuPa vs FC Vaajakoski II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.