Prediction: MPS/Atletico Malmi vs PPS
| MPS/Atletico Malmi | Draw | PPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 92% | 5% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MPS/Atletico Malmi (rating 1552 vs 1372).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MPS/Atletico Malmi | PPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 4.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/13/38% | 0/44/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MPS/Atletico Malmi 1–0–0 PPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | PPS | 1-2 HT 0-1 | MPS/Atletico Malmi |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PPJ/Lauttasaari | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | MPS/Atletico Malmi | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | ToTe | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Valtti | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 21 |
| 5 | LPS Helsinki | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 16 |
| 6 | HPS II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 7 | Tips Vantaa | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 12 |
| 8 | VJS Vantaa II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 11 |
| 9 | Töölön Taisto | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 22 | 11 |
| 10 | Atlantis FC/PM | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Kontu | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 10 |
| 12 | PPS | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MPS/Atletico Malmi | PPS |
|---|---|---|
| Valtti | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| HPS II | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Atlantis FC/PM | 6-1 W | 3-2 W |
| ToTe | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| PPJ/Lauttasaari | 0-4 L | 0-9 L |
| Tips Vantaa | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| LPS Helsinki | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| VJS Vantaa II | 2-1 W | 0-11 L |
| FC Kontu | 4-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Töölön Taisto | 4-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: MPS/Atletico Malmi (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MPS/Atletico Malmi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 16/06 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
PPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-9 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-11 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MPS/Atletico Malmi vs PPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MPS/Atletico Malmi win (84%). Probabilities: MPS/Atletico Malmi 84%, draw 9%, PPS 7%.
How many goals are expected in MPS/Atletico Malmi vs PPS?
The model expects 4.98 goals (MPS/Atletico Malmi 3.49 · PPS 1.49), with a 56% chance of under 5.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MPS/Atletico Malmi vs PPS?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.