Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/07, 18:30

Prediction: Valtti vs ToTe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Valtti1.81
ToTe1.63
1X2
42% 23% 35%
Valtti Draw ToTe
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Valtti 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWWWW
ToTe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDWLWW
Head-to-head
Valtti 5–1 ToTe (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valtti 1551 · ToTe 1542
ValttiDrawToTe
Our model42%24%34%
Market43%22%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Valtti: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ValttiToTe
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 22.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.11.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/11/56%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 5.62.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.23.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valtti 501 ToTe

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe3-1
HT 1-0
Valtti
16/04/26
Finland Cup
ToTe0-1
HT 0-0
Valtti
16/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe0-1
HT 0-0
Valtti
09/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
Valtti3-0
HT 2-0
ToTe
07/10/23
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe2-3
HT 1-1
Valtti
07/07/23
Finland Kolmonen
Valtti1-0
HT 1-0
ToTe

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PPJ/Lauttasaari 11731 431624
2 MPS/Atletico Malmi 11803 271824
3 ToTe 10712 271122
4 Valtti 10703 231921
5 LPS Helsinki 9513 292316
6 HPS II 11425 272814
7 Tips Vantaa 10406 232812
8 VJS Vantaa II 11326 302411
9 Töölön Taisto 10253 202211
10 Atlantis FC/PM 11326 243811
11 FC Kontu 11245 192810
12 PPS 111010 10473

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentValttiToTe
VJS Vantaa II 4-3 W 1-1 D
MPS/Atletico Malmi 2-1 W 3-0 W
HPS II 3-1 W 3-2 W
LPS Helsinki 2-3 L 1-3 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari 3-7 L 0-1 L
FC Kontu 1-0 W 7-2 W
Atlantis FC/PM 1-2 L 2-3 L
Töölön Taisto 2-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ToTe (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valtti

WLWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 4-3 54 W
26/06 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-1 211 W
12/06 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 81 W
05/06 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-1 40 W
29/05 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-3 84 L
24/05 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 16 L
21/05 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 3-7 44 L
15/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 75 W
09/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
02/05 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 119 W

ToTe

LWLWWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-1 05 W
25/06 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-2 55 W
13/06 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 63 L
05/06 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 3-0 82 W
30/05 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 82 D
24/05 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 36 W
21/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 7-2 52 W
15/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-3 34 L
08/05 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 W
02/05 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valtti vs ToTe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valtti win (42%). Probabilities: Valtti 42%, draw 23%, ToTe 35%.

How many goals are expected in Valtti vs ToTe?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Valtti 1.81 · ToTe 1.63), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Valtti vs ToTe?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.