Football · Finland Kolmonen · 23/07, 17:15

Prediction: JyTy vs MaPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
JyTy1.48
MaPS2.42
1X2
22% 21% 58%
JyTy Draw MaPS
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
JyTy 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDLWLLWL
MaPS 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWLLLL
Head-to-head
JyTy 1–1–3 MaPS (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyTy 1419 · MaPS 1477
JyTyDrawMaPS
Our model22%20%58%
Market22%21%58%
Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MaPS (rating 1419 vs 1477).
  • H2H favours MaPS: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JyTyMaPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.91.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.30.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.82.7 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.13.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · JyTy 113 MaPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
MaPS3-1
HT 2-0
JyTy
19/08/21
Finland Kolmonen
JyTy2-0
HT 1-0
MaPS
18/07/19
Finland Kolmonen
JyTy0-6
HT 0-2
MaPS
04/04/19
Finland Kolmonen
MaPS2-2
HT 1-0
JyTy
21/07/17
Finland Kolmonen
MaPS2-1
HT 0-0
JyTy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IFK Mariehamn II 11902 311027
2 EuPa 11812 24825
3 PIF Parainen 10622 20820
4 KaaPo 11605 222018
5 VG-62 10604 141218
6 SalPa 2 11524 151417
7 MaPS 11515 192016
8 Peimari United 11263 171612
9 LTU 11317 81610
10 PiPS 11227 9228
11 ACF 11146 8217
12 JyTy 11218 12327

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJyTyMaPS
IFK Mariehamn II 0-5 L 3-2 W
SalPa 2 3-2 W 2-4 L
ACF 0-2 L 3-0 W
PiPS 0-1 L 3-2 W
LTU 3-2 W 3-1 W
VG-62 0-1 L 0-1 L
EuPa 1-5 L 1-5 L
KaaPo 1-6 L 1-2 L
PIF Parainen 1-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 7 L 4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MaPS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyTy

LLLDLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-5 61 L
01/07 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 05 W
25/06 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 34 L
11/06 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 47 L
04/06 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 63 W
22/05 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 34 L
15/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-2 37 D
07/05 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-5 44 L
29/04 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-6 23 L
23/04 PIF Parainen
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-3 73 L

MaPS

LLWWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 PIF Parainen
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 72 L
17/06 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 59 L
12/06 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-5 55 L
02/06 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-4 90 L
29/05 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 3-0 113 W
22/05 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
14/05 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 52 W
09/05 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
02/05 VG-62
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
29/04 AIFK
Finland Cup
0-0 0-1 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyTy vs MaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MaPS win (58%). Probabilities: JyTy 22%, draw 21%, MaPS 58%.

How many goals are expected in JyTy vs MaPS?

The model expects 3.9 goals (JyTy 1.48 · MaPS 2.42), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JyTy vs MaPS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.