Prediction: EuPa vs LTU
- LTU0-3EuPa
- EuPa3-2LTU
- LTU0-4EuPa
| EuPa | Draw | LTU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 8% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EuPa (rating 1590 vs 1445).
- H2H favours EuPa: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EuPa | LTU | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EuPa 3–0–0 LTU
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | LTU | 0-3 HT 0-1 | EuPa |
| 13/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | EuPa | 3-2 | LTU |
| 05/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | LTU | 0-4 HT 0-1 | EuPa |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Mariehamn II | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | EuPa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | PIF Parainen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | VG-62 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | KaaPo | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 6 | SalPa 2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | MaPS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 8 | Peimari United | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | LTU | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | PiPS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | JyTy | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 8 |
| 12 | ACF | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EuPa | LTU |
|---|---|---|
| PIF Parainen | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| IFK Mariehamn II | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| MaPS | 5-1 W | 1-3 L |
| VG-62 | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| SalPa 2 | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Peimari United | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| ACF | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| JyTy | 5-1 W | 2-3 L |
| PiPS | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| KaaPo | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: EuPa (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EuPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | JyTy Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
LTU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | JyTy Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EuPa vs LTU?
According to our model, the most likely result is a EuPa win (76%). Probabilities: EuPa 76%, draw 15%, LTU 9%.
How many goals are expected in EuPa vs LTU?
The model expects 3.35 goals (EuPa 2.57 · LTU 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in EuPa vs LTU?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.