Football · Finland Kolmonen · 23/07, 17:30

Prediction: VG-62 vs ACF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
VG-622.06
ACF1
1X2
62% 21% 17%
VG-62 Draw ACF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
VG-62 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLWLWL
ACF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLDLLLDW
Head-to-head
VG-62 1–0 ACF (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VG-62 1512 · ACF 1438
VG-62DrawACF
Our model61%23%17%
Market62%20%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VG-62 (rating 1512 vs 1438).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VG-62ACF
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.20.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.31.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · VG-62 100 ACF

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
ACF0-2
HT 0-0
VG-62

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IFK Mariehamn II 11902 311027
2 EuPa 11812 24825
3 PIF Parainen 10622 20820
4 KaaPo 11605 222018
5 VG-62 10604 141218
6 SalPa 2 11524 151417
7 MaPS 11515 192016
8 Peimari United 11263 171612
9 LTU 11317 81610
10 PiPS 11227 9228
11 ACF 11146 8217
12 JyTy 11218 12327

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVG-62ACF
LTU 1-2 L 0-0 D
PiPS 3-0 W 0-0 D
IFK Mariehamn II 0-2 L 1-5 L
EuPa 2-1 W 0-1 L
Peimari United 1-3 L 2-2 D
JyTy 1-0 W 2-0 W
KaaPo 1-3 L 3-5 L
MaPS 1-0 W 0-3 L
SalPa 2 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VG-62 (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VG-62

WWWLWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 63 L
17/06 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 23 W
13/06 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 22 L
05/06 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-1 54 W
29/05 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
22/05 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-0 24 W
14/05 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-3 35 L
02/05 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
24/04 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 64 W
17/04 ACF
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 80 W

ACF

LDDLDLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 JyTy
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 44 W
17/06 Peimari United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-2 63 D
12/06 KaaPo
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 3-5 31 L
05/06 PIF Parainen
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 52 L
29/05 MaPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-3 43 L
22/05 SalPa 2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 44 D
14/05 EuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
08/05 PiPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 35 D
29/04 LTU
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 13 D
25/04 IFK Mariehamn II
Finland Kolmonen
1-5 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VG-62 vs ACF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VG-62 win (62%). Probabilities: VG-62 62%, draw 21%, ACF 17%.

How many goals are expected in VG-62 vs ACF?

The model expects 3.06 goals (VG-62 2.06 · ACF 1), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VG-62 vs ACF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.