Football · Malawi Super League · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: Red Lions vs Silver Strikers
Team pages: Red Lions · Silver Strikers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Red Lions0.67
Silver Strikers1.11
1X2
Red Lions
Draw
Silver Strikers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Red Lions
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Silver Strikers
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Red Lions
0–2–4
Silver Strikers
(6 last)
- Silver Strikers3-0Red Lions
- Silver Strikers4-1Red Lions
- Silver Strikers2-1Red Lions
- Silver Strikers0-0Red Lions
- Silver Strikers2-0Red Lions
- Red Lions1-1Silver Strikers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Red Lions 1467 · Silver Strikers 1519
| Red Lions | Draw | Silver Strikers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 35% | 45% |
| Market | 23% | 30% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.77 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1467 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Silver Strikers: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Red Lions | Silver Strikers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Lions 0–2–4 Silver Strikers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Red Lions |
| 30/04/23 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Red Lions |
| 28/08/22 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Red Lions |
| 05/06/21 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 15/09/18 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Red Lions |
| 28/07/18 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Silver Strikers |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Red Lions | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 16 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Red Lions | Silver Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| Creck SC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Mighty Wanderers | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Moyale Barracks | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Silver Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Red Lions vs Silver Strikers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Silver Strikers win (46%). Probabilities: Red Lions 22%, draw 32%, Silver Strikers 46%.
How many goals are expected in Red Lions vs Silver Strikers?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Red Lions 0.67 · Silver Strikers 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Red Lions vs Silver Strikers?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.