Football · Malawi Super League · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: Ekhaya FC vs Blue Eagles

Team pages: Ekhaya FC · Blue Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Ekhaya FC1.08

Blue Eagles1

1X2

36% 32% 32%

Ekhaya FC Draw Blue Eagles

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Ekhaya FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Blue Eagles 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ekhaya FC 0–1–2 Blue Eagles (3 last)

Blue Eagles2-1Ekhaya FC
Ekhaya FC1-2Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles0-0Ekhaya FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekhaya FC 1496 · Blue Eagles 1559

	Ekhaya FC	Draw	Blue Eagles
Our model	36%	33%	32%
Market	36%	32%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blue Eagles (rating 1496 vs 1559).
H2H favours Blue Eagles: 2-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ekhaya FC	Blue Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.80

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +5’	2.50	2.80	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekhaya FC 0–1–2 Blue Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Malawi Super League	Blue Eagles	2-1 HT 2-0	Ekhaya FC
25/10/25 Malawi Super League	Ekhaya FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Blue Eagles
31/05/25 Malawi Super League	Blue Eagles	0-0 HT 0-0	Ekhaya FC

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Big Bullets	17	10	6	1	25	7	36
2	Mighty Wanderers	18	10	6	2	30	12	36
3	Blue Eagles	17	11	1	5	27	18	34
4	Silver Strikers	17	9	5	3	24	11	32
5	Chitipa United	17	7	3	7	13	19	24
6	Red Lions	17	5	7	5	13	14	22
7	Ekhaya FC	17	5	7	5	17	14	22
8	Masters FC	16	6	4	6	17	17	22
9	Moyale Barracks	18	5	7	6	18	21	22
10	Mitundu Baptist FC	17	5	7	5	14	15	22
11	Civil Service Utd	17	6	3	8	11	16	21
12	Dedza Dynamos	17	4	7	6	11	20	19
13	Karonga United	16	4	5	7	15	23	17
14	Kamuzu Barracks	17	3	4	10	16	25	13
15	Creck SC	17	3	4	10	13	22	13
16	MAFCO	17	3	4	10	12	22	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ekhaya FC	Blue Eagles
Red Lions	0-0 D	3-2 W
Kamuzu Barracks	2-0 W	1-2 L
Chitipa United	0-1 L	3-0 W
Big Bullets	0-0 D	0-2 L
MAFCO	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekhaya FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Red Lions Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
10/10	Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
06/09	Karonga United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
22/08	Creck SC Malawi Super League	2-0	2-3	5	1	L
15/08	Silver Strikers Malawi Super League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
08/08	Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League	1-0	1-1	7	7	D
25/07	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/07	Big Bullets Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/07	Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
28/06	MAFCO Malawi Super League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Blue Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
11/10	Big Bullets Malawi Super League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League	2-0	2-1	4	6	W
22/08	Masters FC Malawi Super League	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
16/08	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
08/08	MAFCO Malawi Super League	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
08/08	MAFCO Malawi Super League	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	Red Lions Malawi Super League	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
19/07	Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
04/07	Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekhaya FC vs Blue Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ekhaya FC win (36%). Probabilities: Ekhaya FC 36%, draw 32%, Blue Eagles 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ekhaya FC vs Blue Eagles?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Ekhaya FC 1.08 · Blue Eagles 1), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ekhaya FC vs Blue Eagles?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.