Football · Malawi Super League · 10/10, 14:30

Prediction: Silver Strikers vs Mighty Wanderers

Team pages: Silver Strikers · Mighty Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Silver Strikers1.21

Mighty Wanderers1.03

1X2

39% 31% 30%

Silver Strikers Draw Mighty Wanderers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Silver Strikers 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDWWDL

Mighty Wanderers 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDDWWL

Head-to-head

Silver Strikers 2–4–0 Mighty Wanderers (6 last)

Mighty Wanderers0-0Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers2-2Mighty Wanderers
Mighty Wanderers1-1Silver Strikers
Mighty Wanderers1-1Silver Strikers
Mighty Wanderers0-1Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers2-0Mighty Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silver Strikers 1536 · Mighty Wanderers 1508

	Silver Strikers	Draw	Mighty Wanderers
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	39%	31%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Silver Strikers: 2-4-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silver Strikers	Mighty Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	4.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +4’	2.30	2.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silver Strikers 2–4–0 Mighty Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Malawi Super League	Mighty Wanderers	0-0 HT 0-0	Silver Strikers
22/11/25 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	2-2 HT 1-1	Mighty Wanderers
09/11/25 Malawi Challenge Cup	Mighty Wanderers	1-1 HT 1-0	Silver Strikers
25/05/25 Malawi Super League	Mighty Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Silver Strikers
02/11/24 Malawi Top 8 Cup	Mighty Wanderers	0-1 HT 0-1	Silver Strikers
19/05/24 Malawi Super League	Silver Strikers	2-0 HT 0-0	Mighty Wanderers

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blue Eagles	15	10	1	4	24	16	31
2	Big Bullets	15	8	6	1	20	7	30
3	Mighty Wanderers	16	8	6	2	28	12	30
4	Silver Strikers	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
5	Masters FC	15	6	4	5	17	16	22
6	Moyale Barracks	16	5	7	4	17	18	22
7	Chitipa United	15	6	3	6	11	16	21
8	Red Lions	15	5	5	5	12	13	20
9	Mitundu Baptist FC	15	5	5	5	12	13	20
10	Civil Service Utd	15	6	2	7	10	14	20
11	Ekhaya FC	15	4	6	5	15	14	18
12	Dedza Dynamos	15	3	6	6	9	19	15
13	Karonga United	15	3	5	7	14	23	14
14	MAFCO	15	3	4	8	12	17	13
15	Kamuzu Barracks	15	3	3	9	15	22	12
16	Creck SC	15	2	4	9	11	20	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silver Strikers	Mighty Wanderers
Dedza Dynamos	0-0 D	1-1 D
Ekhaya FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Red Lions	3-0 W	2-1 W
Civil Service Utd	1-1 D	2-0 W
MAFCO	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Silver Strikers

WDWDWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Big Bullets Malawi Super League	0-3	0-5	4	4	L
23/08	Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Creck SC Malawi Super League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/07	Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
19/07	Karonga United Malawi Super League	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
05/07	Chitipa United Malawi Super League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
28/06	Red Lions Malawi Super League	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
20/06	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
30/05	MAFCO Malawi Super League	0-0	1-0	8	3	W

Mighty Wanderers

DDWWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Blue Eagles Malawi Super League	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
22/08	Red Lions Malawi Super League	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
16/08	Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League	2-0	2-0	11	1	W
08/08	Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/07	Masters FC Malawi Super League	1-1	1-1	12	1	D
18/07	Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/07	MAFCO Malawi Super League	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
28/06	Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
20/06	Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silver Strikers vs Mighty Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Silver Strikers win (39%). Probabilities: Silver Strikers 39%, draw 31%, Mighty Wanderers 30%.

How many goals are expected in Silver Strikers vs Mighty Wanderers?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Silver Strikers 1.21 · Mighty Wanderers 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Silver Strikers vs Mighty Wanderers?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.