Football · Malawi Super League · 10/10, 14:30

Prediction: Mitundu Baptist FC vs Red Lions

Team pages: Mitundu Baptist FC · Red Lions

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Mitundu Baptist FC1.02
Red Lions0.79
1X2
40% 33% 27%
Mitundu Baptist FC Draw Red Lions
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Mitundu Baptist FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWDWLDD
Red Lions 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLDWLD
Head-to-head
Mitundu Baptist FC 0–1 Red Lions (1 last)
  • Red Lions1-0Mitundu Baptist FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mitundu Baptist FC 1514 · Red Lions 1481
Mitundu Baptist FCDrawRed Lions
Our model39%35%26%
Market41%31%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mitundu Baptist FCRed Lions
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.70.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.92 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 0.12.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitundu Baptist FC 0–0–1 Red Lions

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Malawi Super League
Red Lions1-0
HT 1-0
Mitundu Baptist FC

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Big Bullets 15861 20730
2 Mighty Wanderers 15861 271030
3 Silver Strikers 15852 231029
4 Blue Eagles 14914 221528
5 Masters FC 15645 171622
6 Moyale Barracks 16574 171822
7 Chitipa United 15636 111621
8 Red Lions 15555 121320
9 Mitundu Baptist FC 15555 121320
10 Civil Service Utd 15627 101420
11 Ekhaya FC 15465 151418
12 Dedza Dynamos 15366 91915
13 Karonga United 15357 142314
14 MAFCO 15348 121713
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15339 152212
16 Creck SC 15249 112010

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMitundu Baptist FCRed Lions
Chitipa United 0-1 L 1-0 W
Karonga United 2-1 W 0-1 L
Silver Strikers 1-1 D 0-3 L
Blue Eagles 3-2 W 2-3 L
Moyale Barracks 0-2 L 1-0 W
Civil Service Utd 3-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mitundu Baptist FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mitundu Baptist FC

WLWDWDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 22 D
23/08 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 23 D
15/08 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 11 L
09/08 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-1 82 W
26/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-1 72 D
18/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 –– W
05/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 42 D
27/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-2 31 W
21/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 53 L
30/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 31 W

Red Lions

LWLWLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 44 D
22/08 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 35 L
15/08 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/08 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 43 D
25/07 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-3 –– L
18/07 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 –– L
05/07 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 41 L
21/06 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 25 W
31/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 20 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mitundu Baptist FC win (40%). Probabilities: Mitundu Baptist FC 40%, draw 33%, Red Lions 27%.

How many goals are expected in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Red Lions?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Mitundu Baptist FC 1.02 · Red Lions 0.79), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Red Lions?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.