Football · Malawi Super League · 11/10, 14:30
Prediction: Creck SC vs Moyale Barracks
Team pages: Creck SC · Moyale Barracks
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Creck SC0.98
Moyale Barracks0.93
1X2
Creck SC
Draw
Moyale Barracks
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Creck SC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Moyale Barracks
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Creck SC
3–1–2
Moyale Barracks
(6 last)
- Moyale Barracks1-0Creck SC
- Moyale Barracks2-0Creck SC
- Creck SC2-1Moyale Barracks
- Creck SC1-0Moyale Barracks
- Moyale Barracks0-0Creck SC
- Creck SC3-2Moyale Barracks
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Creck SC 1436 · Moyale Barracks 1529
| Creck SC | Draw | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 31% |
| Market | 36% | 31% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moyale Barracks (rating 1436 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Creck SC: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Creck SC | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Creck SC 3–1–2 Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Creck SC |
| 14/12/25 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Creck SC |
| 20/09/25 Malawi League Cup | Creck SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 28/06/25 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 21/09/24 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Creck SC |
| 14/04/24 Malawi Super League | Creck SC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Moyale Barracks |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 30 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 22 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 20 |
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Civil Service Utd | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Creck SC | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Civil Service Utd | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Masters FC | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Blue Eagles | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Moyale Barracks (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Creck SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Creck SC vs Moyale Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Creck SC win (35%). Probabilities: Creck SC 35%, draw 33%, Moyale Barracks 32%.
How many goals are expected in Creck SC vs Moyale Barracks?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Creck SC 0.98 · Moyale Barracks 0.93), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Creck SC vs Moyale Barracks?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.