Football · Sweden Elitettan · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Enskede IK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)

Team pages: Enskede IK (W) · KIF Orebro (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Enskede IK (W)1.24

KIF Orebro (W)2.21

1X2

20% 22% 59%

Enskede IK (W) Draw KIF Orebro (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Enskede IK (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLDLLL

KIF Orebro (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Enskede IK (W) 0–1 KIF Orebro (W) (1 last)

KIF Orebro (W)4-3Enskede IK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enskede IK (W) 1446 · KIF Orebro (W) 1559

	Enskede IK (W)	Draw	KIF Orebro (W)
Our model	20%	22%	58%
Market	20%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KIF Orebro (W) (rating 1446 vs 1559).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enskede IK (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	2.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.20

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:39 +3’	4.50	4.20	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enskede IK (W) 0–0–1 KIF Orebro (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	KIF Orebro (W)	4-3 HT 3-0	Enskede IK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	19	13	5	1	36	9	44
2	Linköpings FC (W)	19	13	3	3	38	24	42
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	19	12	5	2	49	22	41
4	KIF Orebro (W)	19	13	2	4	41	24	41
5	Umea IK (W)	19	9	4	6	33	23	31
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	19	8	5	6	27	27	29
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	19	7	4	8	27	30	25
8	Jitex BK (W)	19	6	5	8	24	27	23
9	Orebro SK (W)	19	5	5	9	21	30	20
10	Alingsås IF (W)	19	4	7	8	17	26	19
11	Enskede IK (W)	19	5	4	10	26	36	19
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	19	4	5	10	21	32	17
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	19	2	5	12	19	47	11
14	BK Hacken (W) II	19	2	1	16	18	40	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enskede IK (W)	KIF Orebro (W)
Umea IK (W)	1-5 L	2-1 W
Jitex BK (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Elfsborg (W)	0-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KIF Orebro (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enskede IK (W)

WDDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
30/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
23/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	3	0	L
15/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	0-5	3	1	L
08/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	0	0	L
01/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
25/07	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
21/06	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-0	4-0	2	0	W

KIF Orebro (W)

WWWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	4-1	5-1	8	1	W
12/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
08/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
01/08	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	10	2	W
18/06	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enskede IK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KIF Orebro (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Enskede IK (W) 20%, draw 22%, KIF Orebro (W) 59%.

How many goals are expected in Enskede IK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Enskede IK (W) 1.24 · KIF Orebro (W) 2.21), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Enskede IK (W) vs KIF Orebro (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.