Football · Sweden Elitettan · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs Enskede IK (W)

Team pages: Gamla Upsala SK (W) · Enskede IK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Gamla Upsala SK (W)1.46

Enskede IK (W)1.7

1X2

32% 25% 42%

Gamla Upsala SK (W) Draw Enskede IK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gamla Upsala SK (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Enskede IK (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gamla Upsala SK (W) 0–1 Enskede IK (W) (1 last)

Enskede IK (W)4-1Gamla Upsala SK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1459 · Enskede IK (W) 1434

	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	Draw	Enskede IK (W)
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	Enskede IK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.5	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	0.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +6’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gamla Upsala SK (W) 0–0–1 Enskede IK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden Elitettan	Enskede IK (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Gamla Upsala SK (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	20	13	6	1	37	10	45
2	KIF Orebro (W)	20	14	2	4	43	25	44
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	20	12	6	2	50	23	42
4	Linköpings FC (W)	20	13	3	4	38	26	42
5	Umea IK (W)	20	10	4	6	35	24	34
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	20	9	5	6	28	27	32
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	20	8	4	8	28	30	28
8	Jitex BK (W)	20	6	6	8	26	29	24
9	Orebro SK (W)	20	6	5	9	23	30	23
10	Alingsås IF (W)	20	4	7	9	17	27	19
11	Enskede IK (W)	20	5	4	11	27	38	19
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	20	4	5	11	21	33	17
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	20	2	5	13	20	49	11
14	BK Hacken (W) II	20	2	2	16	20	42	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	Enskede IK (W)
Alingsås IF (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Jitex BK (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Umea IK (W)	0-1 L	1-5 L
KIF Orebro (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gamla Upsala SK (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gamla Upsala SK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
13/09	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
29/08	Sandvikens IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	3-1	4-4	–	–	D
02/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
25/07	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	1	2	L

Enskede IK (W)

DDLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
20/09	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
30/08	Jitex BK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
23/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	1-2	3	0	L
15/08	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-3	0-5	3	1	L
08/08	Linköpings FC (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-2	0	0	L
01/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
25/07	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-1	6	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs Enskede IK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Enskede IK (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Gamla Upsala SK (W) 32%, draw 25%, Enskede IK (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs Enskede IK (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Gamla Upsala SK (W) 1.46 · Enskede IK (W) 1.7), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gamla Upsala SK (W) vs Enskede IK (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.