Football · Sweden Elitettan · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Jitex BK (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)

Team pages: Jitex BK (W) · Linköpings FC (W)

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Jitex BK (W)1.12

Linköpings FC (W)2.04

1X2

20% 22% 58%

Jitex BK (W) Draw Linköpings FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jitex BK (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDLDWD

Linköpings FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWLWL

Head-to-head

Jitex BK (W) 0–1–1 Linköpings FC (W) (2 last)

Linköpings FC (W)1-1Jitex BK (W)
Jitex BK (W)1-4Linköpings FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jitex BK (W) 1489 · Linköpings FC (W) 1513

	Jitex BK (W)	Draw	Linköpings FC (W)
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jitex BK (W)	Linköpings FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	3.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.57
X	3.90 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	1.67 → 1.53▼	Pinn 1.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +6’	3.90	3.90	1.67
14:47 +4’	4.50▲	4.10▲	1.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:02 +13’	4.25	3.80	1.59
09:37 +31’	4.48▲	3.89▲	1.55▼
14:37 +15’	4.47▼	3.87▼	1.55▲
17:03 +38’	4.57▲	3.94▲	1.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jitex BK (W) 0–1–1 Linköpings FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden Elitettan	Linköpings FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Jitex BK (W)
09/02/19 Sweden Cup Women	Jitex BK (W)	1-4 HT 0-3	Linköpings FC (W)

Standings · Sweden Elitettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elfsborg (W)	20	13	6	1	37	10	45
2	KIF Orebro (W)	20	14	2	4	43	25	44
3	IFK Goteborg (W)	20	12	6	2	50	23	42
4	Linköpings FC (W)	20	13	3	4	38	26	42
5	Umea IK (W)	20	10	4	6	35	24	34
6	Trelleborgs FF (W)	20	9	5	6	28	27	32
7	Husqvarna FF (W)	20	8	4	8	28	30	28
8	Jitex BK (W)	20	6	6	8	26	29	24
9	Orebro SK (W)	20	6	5	9	23	30	23
10	Alingsås IF (W)	20	4	7	9	17	27	19
11	Enskede IK (W)	20	5	4	11	27	38	19
12	Gamla Upsala SK (W)	20	4	5	11	21	33	17
13	Sandvikens IF (W)	20	2	5	13	20	49	11
14	BK Hacken (W) II	20	2	2	16	20	42	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jitex BK (W)	Linköpings FC (W)
BK Hacken (W) II	2-2 D	2-1 W
Orebro SK (W)	4-1 W	0-2 L
IFK Goteborg (W)	1-1 D	1-4 L
Enskede IK (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Alingsås IF (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Linköpings FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jitex BK (W)

LWWLLDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
20/09	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/09	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
30/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	1-2	8	0	L
15/08	Umea IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
07/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
02/08	Gamla Upsala SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/06	KIF Orebro (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	0-1	2	2	L

Linköpings FC (W)

DLWWWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
18/09	Husqvarna FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-0	2-1	13	0	W
12/09	Elfsborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Alingsås IF (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	IFK Goteborg (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/08	BK Hacken (W) II Sweden Elitettan	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/08	Enskede IK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-0	2-1	11	0	W
31/07	Orebro SK (W) Sweden Elitettan	1-2	2-4	2	1	L
25/07	Trelleborgs FF (W) Sweden Elitettan	0-1	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jitex BK (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linköpings FC (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Jitex BK (W) 20%, draw 22%, Linköpings FC (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Jitex BK (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Jitex BK (W) 1.12 · Linköpings FC (W) 2.04), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jitex BK (W) vs Linköpings FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.