Prediction: El Nacional vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Team pages: El Nacional · San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-0El Nacional
| El Nacional | Draw | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 27% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC Cotacachi (rating 1450 vs 1513).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Nacional | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 38/50/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Nacional 0–0–1 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Nacional |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Club 9 de Octubre | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 34 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 31 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 29 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 27 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 25 |
| 8 | CD Vargas Torres | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 23 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Nacional | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cumbaya | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC Cotacachi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Nacional vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Antonio FC Cotacachi win (48%). Probabilities: El Nacional 27%, draw 25%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 48%.
How many goals are expected in El Nacional vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model expects 2.78 goals (El Nacional 1.15 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.63), with a 60% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in El Nacional vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.