Prediction: 22 de Julio vs CD Cuenca Jrs

Team pages: 22 de Julio · CD Cuenca Jrs

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
22 de Julio0.75
CD Cuenca Jrs1.31
1X2
21% 29% 50%
22 de Julio Draw CD Cuenca Jrs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
22 de Julio 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
CD Cuenca Jrs 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLWWWDDL
Head-to-head
22 de Julio 0–1 CD Cuenca Jrs (1 last)
  • CD Cuenca Jrs3-022 de Julio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 22 de Julio 1426 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1510
22 de JulioDrawCD Cuenca Jrs
Our model20%31%49%
Market22%27%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Cuenca Jrs (rating 1426 vs 1510).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

22 de JulioCD Cuenca Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.61 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/25/75%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.51.6 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.55.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · 22 de Julio 001 CD Cuenca Jrs

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/05/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Cuenca Jrs3-022 de Julio

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente Juniors 201073 251337
2 Club 9 de Octubre 20983 201235
3 Atletico FC Guayaquil 208102 221434
4 CD Cuenca Jrs 20875 192031
5 Vinotinto Ecuador 20857 251729
6 San Antonio FC Cotacachi 20695 232127
7 Cumbaya 205105 191625
8 CD Vargas Torres 20686 141323
9 LDU Portoviejo 20659 152223
10 Gualaceo SC 20677 161619
11 22 de Julio 204313 10289
12 El Nacional 202513 14308

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent22 de JulioCD Cuenca Jrs
Independiente Juniors 0-2 L 0-4 L
El Nacional 1-3 L 4-1 W
Club 9 de Octubre 0-1 L 3-3 D
Vinotinto Ecuador 0-1 L 0-2 L
Cumbaya 0-4 L 0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil 0-1 L 0-0 D
CD Vargas Torres 0-1 L 1-0 W
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 7 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Cuenca Jrs (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

22 de Julio

LWLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-2 L
31/07 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-3 56 L
25/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 23 L
18/07 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 W
11/07 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 L
02/07 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-4 L
09/06 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 L
06/06 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 L
30/05 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-0 W
21/05 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 L

CD Cuenca Jrs

DLWLWWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-2 12 L
30/07 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 36 D
24/07 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 44 D
17/07 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
09/07 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 79 W
03/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
10/06 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 0-4 55 L
07/06 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
3-1 4-1 47 W
05/06 Macara
Ecuador Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
30/05 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-1 3-3 47 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 22 de Julio vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Cuenca Jrs win (50%). Probabilities: 22 de Julio 21%, draw 29%, CD Cuenca Jrs 50%.

How many goals are expected in 22 de Julio vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model expects 2.05 goals (22 de Julio 0.75 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 22 de Julio vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.