Football · Argentina Nacional B · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
Team pages: Tristan Suarez · Deportivo Maipu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.68Total
Tristan Suarez1.45
Deportivo Maipu0.23
1X2
Tristan Suarez
Draw
Deportivo Maipu
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 62%
Most likely score
1-0 26%
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Suarez
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Maipu
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Suarez
1–1–4
Deportivo Maipu
(6 last)
- Deportivo Maipu0-1Tristan Suarez
- Deportivo Maipu1-0Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez1-1Deportivo Maipu
- Tristan Suarez1-2Deportivo Maipu
- Deportivo Maipu1-0Tristan Suarez
- Deportivo Maipu3-2Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Suarez 1542 · Deportivo Maipu 1509
| Tristan Suarez | Draw | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 27% | 5% |
| Market | 71% | 21% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tristan Suarez | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Suarez 1–1–4 Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 09/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 23/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 09/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 54 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 51 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 48 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 46 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 42 |
| 14 | Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 39 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 37 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 60 | 26 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tristan Suarez | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Patronato Parana | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Colegiales | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Quilmes | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| San Martin SJ | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tristan Suarez (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/10 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 12/09 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tristan Suarez win (70%). Probabilities: Tristan Suarez 70%, draw 24%, Deportivo Maipu 6%.
How many goals are expected in Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model expects 1.68 goals (Tristan Suarez 1.45 · Deportivo Maipu 0.23), with a 60% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives a 62% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.