Prediction: CA Atlanta vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: CA Atlanta · Ferrocarril Midland
- Ferrocarril Midland1-2CA Atlanta
| CA Atlanta | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 26% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlanta (rating 1551 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlanta | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 1–0–0 Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA Atlanta |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 54 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 51 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 48 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 46 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 42 |
| 14 | Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 39 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 37 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 60 | 26 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlanta | Ferrocarril Midland |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Atletico Rafaela | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Guemes | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin SJ | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (61%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 61%, draw 25%, Ferrocarril Midland 14%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 2.35 goals (CA Atlanta 1.69 · Ferrocarril Midland 0.67), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.