Football · Argentina Nacional B · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
Team pages: CA San Miguel · Deportivo Madryn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
CA San Miguel0.73
Deportivo Madryn1.59
1X2
CA San Miguel
Draw
Deportivo Madryn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA San Miguel
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Madryn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA San Miguel
0–3–1
Deportivo Madryn
(4 last)
- Deportivo Madryn2-2CA San Miguel
- CA San Miguel1-1Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn2-1CA San Miguel
- Deportivo Madryn0-0CA San Miguel
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA San Miguel 1430 · Deportivo Madryn 1530
| CA San Miguel | Draw | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 27% | 57% |
| Market | 15% | 28% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Madryn (rating 1430 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA San Miguel | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 0–3–1 Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-2 HT 1-0 | CA San Miguel |
| 05/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Miguel | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 02/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 2-1 HT 2-0 | CA San Miguel |
| 03/11/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Miguel |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 65 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 31 | 57 |
| 5 | Colon | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 27 | 57 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 51 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 49 |
| 9 | CA Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 43 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 26 | 42 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | Club Atletico Mitre | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 38 |
| 16 | CA San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 41 | 38 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 34 |
| 18 | CA San Miguel | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 33 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA San Miguel | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores de Belgrano | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Almirante Brown | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Chaco For Ever | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Madryn win (56%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 16%, draw 28%, Deportivo Madryn 56%.
How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model expects 2.32 goals (CA San Miguel 0.73 · Deportivo Madryn 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.