Football · Argentina Nacional B · 31/10, 19:30

Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Team pages: Deportivo Moron · Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

Deportivo Moron1.43

Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.72

1X2

53% 29% 18%

Deportivo Moron Draw Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Moron 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWLLL

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Moron 1–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (1 last)

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1-2Deportivo Moron

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Moron 1489 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1506

	Deportivo Moron	Draw	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Our model	53%	29%	18%
Market	53%	29%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Moron	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	1.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.30 ★
2	5.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:01 +16’	1.83	3.10	5.00
11:13 +7’	1.67▼	3.40▲	5.75▲
05:49 +26’	1.75▲	3.20▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:43 +1’	1.54	3.54	6.40
20:13 +11’	1.58▲	3.54	5.85▼
20:42 +39’	1.59▲	3.59▲	5.97▲
17:13 +10’	1.59▼	3.56▼	5.91▼
21:54 +25’	1.66▲	3.42▼	5.48▼
14:23 +14’	1.69▲	3.36▼	5.31▼
16:11 +30’	1.74▲	3.25▼	5.04▼
05:48 +27’	1.72▼	3.30▲	5.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 1–0–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Moron

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	35	19	8	8	38	31	65
2	Godoy Cruz	35	18	9	8	51	32	63
3	Deportivo Moron	35	17	7	11	51	37	58
4	Deportivo Madryn	35	15	12	8	51	31	57
5	Colon	35	15	12	8	43	27	57
6	Almirante Brown	35	13	12	10	29	24	51
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	35	13	12	10	30	31	51
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	35	13	10	12	35	34	49
9	CA Chaco For Ever	35	11	10	14	36	36	43
10	Los Andes	35	9	15	11	27	26	42
11	Racing de Cordoba	35	10	10	15	31	42	40
12	Defensores de Belgrano	35	8	15	12	25	32	39
13	Club Atletico Mitre	35	8	15	12	31	42	39
14	Central Norte	35	7	17	11	23	31	38
15	All Boys	35	7	17	11	21	30	38
16	CA San Telmo	35	9	11	15	29	41	38
17	Acassuso	35	8	10	17	25	35	34
18	CA San Miguel	35	6	15	14	27	41	33

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Moron	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Racing de Cordoba	2-1 W	1-1 D
Colon	2-1 W	0-2 L
CA San Miguel	2-1 W	2-1 W
Central Norte	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Moron

DWWWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
18/10	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
11/10	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
03/10	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
27/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
20/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
13/09	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/09	Colon Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
27/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

DWLDLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
17/10	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
12/10	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
03/10	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	3	10	L
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 53%, draw 29%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 18%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.43 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.72), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.