Prediction: ToTe/Tapio vs TuPS
| ToTe/Tapio | Draw | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 8% | 10% | 82% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TuPS (rating 1407 vs 1512).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ToTe/Tapio | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/11/89% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 4.1 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ToTe/Tapio 0–0–1 TuPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | TuPS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | ToTe/Tapio |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Lahti II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Sibbov | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 19 |
| 4 | RiPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlantis II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | JäPS/47 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 | TuPS | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 8 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 3 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ToTe/Tapio | TuPS |
|---|---|---|
| RiPS | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Atlantis II | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Ponnistus | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| TiPS U21 | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| FC Lahti II | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Gnistan/Ogeli | 1-5 L | 5-0 W |
| JäPS/47 | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Futura | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Sibbov | 1-4 L | 3-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: TuPS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ToTe/Tapio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
TuPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ToTe/Tapio vs TuPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TuPS win (79%). Probabilities: ToTe/Tapio 9%, draw 12%, TuPS 79%.
How many goals are expected in ToTe/Tapio vs TuPS?
The model expects 4.18 goals (ToTe/Tapio 1.09 · TuPS 3.09), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ToTe/Tapio vs TuPS?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.