Prediction: JäPS/47 vs Gnistan/Ogeli
| JäPS/47 | Draw | Gnistan/Ogeli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 15% | 11% |
| Market | 74% | 14% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JäPS/47 (rating 1528 vs 1450).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JäPS/47 | Gnistan/Ogeli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/13/13% | 13/25/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.6 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JäPS/47 0–1–0 Gnistan/Ogeli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | Gnistan/Ogeli | 2-2 HT 0-1 | JäPS/47 |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Lahti II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Sibbov | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 19 |
| 4 | RiPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlantis II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | JäPS/47 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 | TuPS | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 8 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 3 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JäPS/47 | Gnistan/Ogeli |
|---|---|---|
| Atlantis II | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| TiPS U21 | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Futura | 0-1 L | 0-8 L |
| Ponnistus | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| RiPS | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| TuPS | 2-3 L | 0-5 L |
| ToTe/Tapio | 3-1 W | 5-1 W |
| FC Lahti II | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| MK United | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: JäPS/47 (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JäPS/47
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/06 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/06 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
Gnistan/Ogeli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JäPS/47 vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JäPS/47 win (73%). Probabilities: JäPS/47 73%, draw 15%, Gnistan/Ogeli 12%.
How many goals are expected in JäPS/47 vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
The model expects 4.14 goals (JäPS/47 2.97 · Gnistan/Ogeli 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JäPS/47 vs Gnistan/Ogeli?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.