Football · Finland Kolmonen · 22/07, 18:00

Prediction: TPV II vs TP-T

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
TPV II2.65
TP-T1.38
1X2
64% 18% 18%
TPV II Draw TP-T
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
TPV II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDWWWLWW
TP-T 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLLDWLWW
Head-to-head
TPV II 4–2 TP-T (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TPV II 1584 · TP-T 1484
TPV IIDrawTP-T
Our model64%19%18%
Market64%18%18%
Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV II (rating 1584 vs 1484).
  • H2H favours TPV II: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TPV IITP-T
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.31.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.50.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.82 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV II 402 TP-T

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T1-3
HT 1-1
TPV II
21/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T2-4
HT 1-2
TPV II
15/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
TPV II3-2
HT 0-1
TP-T
06/08/20
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T0-1
HT 0-1
TPV II
11/09/19
Finland Kolmonen
TPV II2-3
HT 1-2
TP-T
18/06/19
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T5-3
HT 1-1
TPV II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lasten 111100 48933
2 TPV II 11812 251425
3 Tampere Utd II 11812 211125
4 NoPS 11623 291620
5 Ylojarvi United 11614 221819
6 FC Haka Juniors 11506 252315
7 Saaksjærven Loiske 11425 162714
8 FC LeKi 10415 202013
9 TP-T 10325 182111
10 Fish United 11227 9258
11 ACE 11119 16344
12 TP-49 110110 8391

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTPV IITP-T
Tampere Utd II 3-2 W 0-2 L
NoPS 5-1 W 2-2 D
FC LeKi 2-4 L 2-0 W
TP-49 3-0 W 4-1 W
Fish United 2-1 W 2-2 D
ACE 2-1 W 2-1 W
Ylojarvi United 2-2 D 3-1 W
Saaksjærven Loiske 1-0 W 1-2 L
FC Haka Juniors 2-1 W 1-3 L
FC Lasten 0-1 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 7 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TPV II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TPV II

LWWDWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-2 16 W
24/06 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 5-1 84 W
12/06 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-4 32 L
03/06 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 158 W
28/05 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-1 45 W
20/05 ACE
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 82 W
14/05 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-2 54 D
06/05 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 101 W
28/04 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 128 W
22/04 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 23 L

TP-T

DLWLLDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 46 W
03/07 ACE
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-1 61 W
27/06 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 13 L
11/06 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 65 W
05/06 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
28/05 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 23 L
14/05 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 62 L
09/05 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
29/04 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-4 110 L
23/04 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-2 144 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TPV II vs TP-T?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV II win (64%). Probabilities: TPV II 64%, draw 18%, TP-T 18%.

How many goals are expected in TPV II vs TP-T?

The model expects 4.03 goals (TPV II 2.65 · TP-T 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TPV II vs TP-T?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.