Prediction: TPV II vs TP-T
| TPV II | Draw | TP-T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV II (rating 1584 vs 1484).
- H2H favours TPV II: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPV II | TP-T | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPV II 4–0–2 TP-T
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 1-3 HT 1-1 | TPV II |
| 21/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 2-4 HT 1-2 | TPV II |
| 15/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | TPV II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | TP-T |
| 06/08/20 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 0-1 HT 0-1 | TPV II |
| 11/09/19 Finland Kolmonen | TPV II | 2-3 HT 1-2 | TP-T |
| 18/06/19 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 5-3 HT 1-1 | TPV II |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 9 | 33 |
| 2 | TPV II | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Tampere Utd II | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | NoPS | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Ylojarvi United | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 14 |
| 8 | FC LeKi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | TP-T | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Fish United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | ACE | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 4 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPV II | TP-T |
|---|---|---|
| Tampere Utd II | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| NoPS | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FC LeKi | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| TP-49 | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Fish United | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| ACE | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ylojarvi United | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Haka Juniors | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Lasten | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: TPV II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPV II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 24/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
TP-T
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/07 | ACE Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 23/04 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPV II vs TP-T?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPV II win (64%). Probabilities: TPV II 64%, draw 18%, TP-T 18%.
How many goals are expected in TPV II vs TP-T?
The model expects 4.03 goals (TPV II 2.65 · TP-T 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in TPV II vs TP-T?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

