Football · Finland Kolmonen · 23/07, 18:00

Prediction: Fish United vs ACE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Fish United2.18

ACE1.54

1X2

52% 21% 27%

Fish United Draw ACE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fish United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLDL

ACE 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Fish United 1–0 ACE (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fish United 1426 · ACE 1394

	Fish United	Draw	ACE
Our model	51%	22%	26%
Market	53%	20%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fish United	ACE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.4	1.5 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1	0.8 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/25/63%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.9 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +1’	1.70	4.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fish United 1–0–0 ACE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	ACE	1-2 HT 1-2	Fish United

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	11	11	0	0	48	9	33
2	TPV II	11	8	1	2	25	14	25
3	Tampere Utd II	11	8	1	2	21	11	25
4	NoPS	11	6	2	3	29	16	20
5	Ylojarvi United	11	6	1	4	22	18	19
6	FC Haka Juniors	11	5	0	6	25	23	15
7	Saaksjærven Loiske	11	4	2	5	16	27	14
8	FC LeKi	10	4	1	5	20	20	13
9	TP-T	10	3	2	5	18	21	11
10	Fish United	11	2	2	7	9	25	8
11	ACE	11	1	1	9	16	34	4
12	TP-49	11	0	1	10	8	39	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fish United	ACE
Ylojarvi United	0-4 L	1-3 L
Saaksjærven Loiske	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Haka Juniors	0-3 L	0-5 L
FC Lasten	0-6 L	2-6 L
TPV II	1-2 L	1-2 L
Tampere Utd II	0-2 L	1-4 L
NoPS	1-3 L	2-3 L
FC LeKi	1-2 L	5-4 W
TP-49	2-0 W	1-1 D
TP-T	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Fish United (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fish United

DWLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/07	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
24/06	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
11/06	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	6	3	L
04/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-6	4	1	L
28/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/05	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
14/05	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
08/05	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/04	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
23/04	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	4	D

ACE

DWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	8	1	L
25/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
12/06	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
02/06	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-5	0	3	L
29/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	2-4	2-6	2	7	L
20/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
15/05	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	1	3	L
08/05	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
27/04	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	4-2	5-4	3	2	W
25/04	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fish United vs ACE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fish United win (52%). Probabilities: Fish United 52%, draw 21%, ACE 27%.

How many goals are expected in Fish United vs ACE?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Fish United 2.18 · ACE 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fish United vs ACE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.