Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/07, 17:30

Prediction: FC LeKi vs Saaksjærven Loiske

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

FC LeKi2.77

Saaksjærven Loiske1.47

1X2

64% 18% 18%

FC LeKi Draw Saaksjærven Loiske

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC LeKi 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC LeKi 0–1–0 Saaksjærven Loiske (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC LeKi 1475 · Saaksjærven Loiske 1490

	FC LeKi	Draw	Saaksjærven Loiske
Our model	64%	18%	18%
Market	64%	18%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC LeKi	Saaksjærven Loiske
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.8	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 2	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/0/71%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:29 +36’	1.40	5.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC LeKi 0–1–0 Saaksjærven Loiske

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	2-2 HT 0-1	FC LeKi

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	11	11	0	0	48	9	33
2	TPV II	11	8	1	2	25	14	25
3	Tampere Utd II	11	8	1	2	21	11	25
4	NoPS	11	6	2	3	29	16	20
5	Ylojarvi United	11	6	1	4	22	18	19
6	FC Haka Juniors	11	5	0	6	25	23	15
7	Saaksjærven Loiske	11	4	2	5	16	27	14
8	FC LeKi	10	4	1	5	20	20	13
9	TP-T	10	3	2	5	18	21	11
10	Fish United	11	2	2	7	9	25	8
11	ACE	11	1	1	9	16	34	4
12	TP-49	11	0	1	10	8	39	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC LeKi	Saaksjærven Loiske
TP-T	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Haka Juniors	4-1 W	0-3 L
FC Lasten	1-3 L	1-10 L
TPV II	4-2 W	0-1 L
Tampere Utd II	1-2 L	0-2 L
NoPS	0-2 L	1-4 L
TP-49	2-1 W	4-3 W
Fish United	2-1 W	0-0 D
ACE	4-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC LeKi (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC LeKi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
03/07	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-1	9	2	W
25/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
12/06	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-2	13	2	W
06/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-2	3	3	L
29/05	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/04	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	1-4	1-9	–	–	L
27/04	ACE Finland Kolmonen	2-4	4-5	3	2	L

Saaksjærven Loiske

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
19/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	10	L
16/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	1-6	1-10	2	4	L
06/05	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
29/04	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
24/04	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC LeKi vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC LeKi win (64%). Probabilities: FC LeKi 64%, draw 18%, Saaksjærven Loiske 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC LeKi vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model expects 4.24 goals (FC LeKi 2.77 · Saaksjærven Loiske 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC LeKi vs Saaksjærven Loiske?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.