Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/07, 18:00

Prediction: NoPS vs FC Haka Juniors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

NoPS2.42

FC Haka Juniors1.77

1X2

52% 21% 28%

NoPS Draw FC Haka Juniors

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

NoPS 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWLL

FC Haka Juniors 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

NoPS 4–2 FC Haka Juniors (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NoPS 1547 · FC Haka Juniors 1490

	NoPS	Draw	FC Haka Juniors
Our model	52%	21%	28%
Market	52%	21%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NoPS (rating 1547 vs 1490).
H2H favours NoPS: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NoPS	FC Haka Juniors
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	2.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 5.6	3.7 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.33

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +1’	1.73	4.33	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NoPS 4–0–2 FC Haka Juniors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	0-3 HT 0-1	NoPS
24/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	3-1	FC Haka Juniors
13/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	3-2 HT 1-0	NoPS
02/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Haka Juniors
15/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	0-9 HT 0-2	NoPS
12/05/23 Finland Kolmonen	NoPS	3-2 HT 3-1	FC Haka Juniors

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	11	11	0	0	48	9	33
2	TPV II	11	8	1	2	25	14	25
3	Tampere Utd II	11	8	1	2	21	11	25
4	NoPS	11	6	2	3	29	16	20
5	Ylojarvi United	11	6	1	4	22	18	19
6	FC Haka Juniors	11	5	0	6	25	23	15
7	Saaksjærven Loiske	11	4	2	5	16	27	14
8	FC LeKi	10	4	1	5	20	20	13
9	TP-T	10	3	2	5	18	21	11
10	Fish United	11	2	2	7	9	25	8
11	ACE	11	1	1	9	16	34	4
12	TP-49	11	0	1	10	8	39	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NoPS	FC Haka Juniors
FC Lasten	0-1 L	2-5 L
TPV II	1-5 L	1-2 L
TP-T	2-2 D	3-1 W
FC LeKi	2-0 W	1-4 L
TP-49	10-1 W	3-1 W
Fish United	3-1 W	3-0 W
ACE	3-2 W	5-0 W
Ylojarvi United	1-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Haka Juniors (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NoPS

LWWWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
24/06	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	6	4	L
16/06	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
05/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/05	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	10-1	–	–	W
14/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
08/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	7	2	W
02/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	6	1	L

FC Haka Juniors

LLWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
24/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
16/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
11/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	9	3	W
02/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	5-0	11	3	W
28/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-4	6	2	L
19/05	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	6	10	W
14/05	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	7	2	W
07/05	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-3	2-5	8	3	L
28/04	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	9	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NoPS vs FC Haka Juniors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NoPS win (52%). Probabilities: NoPS 52%, draw 21%, FC Haka Juniors 28%.

How many goals are expected in NoPS vs FC Haka Juniors?

The model expects 4.18 goals (NoPS 2.42 · FC Haka Juniors 1.77), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in NoPS vs FC Haka Juniors?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.