Prediction: KoPa vs PeKa
| KoPa | Draw | PeKa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| Market | 19% | 19% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PeKa (rating 1495 vs 1581).
- H2H favours PeKa: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KoPa | PeKa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KoPa 0–1–5 PeKa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | PeKa | 5-1 HT 1-0 | KoPa |
| 22/08/25 Finland Kolmonen | PeKa | 1-0 | KoPa |
| 23/05/25 Finland Kolmonen | KoPa | 0-5 HT 0-3 | PeKa |
| 23/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | KoPa | 0-4 HT 0-2 | PeKa |
| 24/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | PeKa | 4-1 HT 1-1 | KoPa |
| 08/07/23 Finland Kolmonen | KoPa | 3-3 HT 1-0 | PeKa |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kultsu FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | IPS Edustus | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | PeKa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | MiPK | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 20 |
| 5 | HaPK | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 19 |
| 6 | KJP | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | KoPa | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 16 |
| 8 | LAUTP | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 14 |
| 9 | MP II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
| 11 | Kumu | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 7 |
| 12 | LAUTP II | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KoPa | PeKa |
|---|---|---|
| Edustus STPS | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| MiPK | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| LAUTP II | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Kumu | 2-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Kultsu FC | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| LAUTP | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| KJP | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| MP II | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| IPS Edustus | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| HaPK | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 4 L | 7 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PeKa (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KoPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
PeKa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/06 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/06 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | HaPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KoPa vs PeKa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PeKa win (62%). Probabilities: KoPa 19%, draw 19%, PeKa 62%.
How many goals are expected in KoPa vs PeKa?
The model expects 3.68 goals (KoPa 1.28 · PeKa 2.4), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KoPa vs PeKa?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.