Prediction: Ponnistus vs Sibbov
| Ponnistus | Draw | Sibbov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| Market | 28% | 20% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sibbov (rating 1439 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ponnistus | Sibbov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponnistus 0–2–1 Sibbov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Kolmonen | Sibbov | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Ponnistus |
| 26/07/25 Finland Kolmonen | Ponnistus | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sibbov |
| 12/04/25 Finland Kolmonen | Sibbov | 2-2 | Ponnistus |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Lahti II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Sibbov | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 19 |
| 4 | RiPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlantis II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | JäPS/47 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 | TuPS | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 8 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 3 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ponnistus | Sibbov |
|---|---|---|
| TuPS | 0-0 D | 6-3 W |
| Gnistan/Ogeli | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| ToTe/Tapio | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| FC Futura | 1-12 L | 1-5 L |
| Atlantis II | 3-5 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Lahti II | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| TiPS U21 | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| RiPS | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sibbov (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ponnistus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-12 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Sibbov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 6-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
4-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ponnistus vs Sibbov?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sibbov win (53%). Probabilities: Ponnistus 27%, draw 20%, Sibbov 53%.
How many goals are expected in Ponnistus vs Sibbov?
The model expects 4.38 goals (Ponnistus 1.85 · Sibbov 2.54), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Ponnistus vs Sibbov?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.