Football · Finland Kolmonen · 25/07, 13:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd II vs FC Lasten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Tampere Utd II1.36

FC Lasten2.21

1X2

23% 20% 57%

Tampere Utd II Draw FC Lasten

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Lasten 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tampere Utd II 0–2–1 FC Lasten (3 last)

FC Lasten4-1Tampere Utd II
FC Lasten1-1Tampere Utd II
Tampere Utd II2-2FC Lasten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd II 1562 · FC Lasten 1634

	Tampere Utd II	Draw	FC Lasten
Our model	22%	22%	56%
Market	24%	19%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lasten (rating 1562 vs 1634).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd II	FC Lasten
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	4.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	2.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/14/29%	78/11/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +1’	3.80	4.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd II 0–2–1 FC Lasten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lasten	4-1 HT 2-0	Tampere Utd II
26/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lasten	1-1 HT 1-1	Tampere Utd II
28/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Tampere Utd II	2-2 HT 0-0	FC Lasten

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	11	11	0	0	48	9	33
2	TPV II	12	9	1	2	28	14	28
3	Tampere Utd II	11	8	1	2	21	11	25
4	NoPS	11	6	2	3	29	16	20
5	Ylojarvi United	11	6	1	4	22	18	19
6	FC Haka Juniors	11	5	0	6	25	23	15
7	Saaksjærven Loiske	11	4	2	5	16	27	14
8	FC LeKi	10	4	1	5	20	20	13
9	TP-T	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
10	Fish United	12	3	2	7	14	27	11
11	ACE	12	1	1	10	18	39	4
12	TP-49	11	0	1	10	8	39	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd II	FC Lasten
TP-T	2-0 W	4-2 W
NoPS	0-0 D	1-0 W
FC LeKi	2-1 W	3-1 W
TP-49	2-0 W	4-0 W
Fish United	2-0 W	6-0 W
ACE	4-1 W	6-2 W
Ylojarvi United	1-0 W	4-0 W
Saaksjærven Loiske	2-0 W	10-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lasten (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	6	L
27/06	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
17/06	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
12/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
06/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
27/05	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
15/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
09/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/04	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

FC Lasten

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
25/06	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
17/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-1	3	6	W
12/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	2-0	6-0	3	1	W
29/05	ACE Finland Kolmonen	4-2	6-2	4	7	W
21/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
16/05	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	6-1	10-1	6	4	W
07/05	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	3-0	5-2	10	3	W
29/04	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-2	4-2	7	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd II vs FC Lasten?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lasten win (57%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd II 23%, draw 20%, FC Lasten 57%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd II vs FC Lasten?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Tampere Utd II 1.36 · FC Lasten 2.21), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd II vs FC Lasten?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.