Football · Finland Kolmonen · 22/07, 18:30

Prediction: Jippo II vs Yllatys

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Jippo II2.3
Yllatys1.59
1X2
53% 21% 26%
Jippo II Draw Yllatys
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jippo II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLDLWDL
Yllatys 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWLLWDD
Head-to-head
Jippo II 3–1 Yllatys (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jippo II 1497 · Yllatys 1474
Jippo IIDrawYllatys
Our model53%21%26%
Market53%21%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Jippo II: 3-0-1.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jippo IIYllatys
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.91.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/57/29%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 72.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jippo II 301 Yllatys

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Yllatys3-2Jippo II
14/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
Yllatys0-3
HT 0-2
Jippo II
11/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
Jippo II3-1
HT 3-0
Yllatys
26/04/25
Finland Kolmonen
Yllatys0-3Jippo II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kings SC 121101 431333
2 NiemU 12912 29728
3 KUPS Akatemia II 12525 302517
4 Yllatys 12426 242814
5 Jippo II 12345 202313
6 PK-37 12327 182711
7 SC Zulimanit 12327 112411
8 ToU 12318 113910

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJippo IIYllatys
KUPS Akatemia II 0-1 L 1-1 D
SC Zulimanit 1-1 D 2-0 W
ToU 3-1 W 0-1 L
Kings SC 2-6 L 1-2 L
PK-37 2-2 D 6-2 W
NiemU 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yllatys (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jippo II

WDWLLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 74 L
24/06 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 132 D
18/06 ToU
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 63 W
10/06 Kings SC
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-6 74 L
07/06 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 64 D
29/05 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 62 L
22/05 Yllatys
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
13/05 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
08/05 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 44 D
29/04 ToU
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W

Yllatys

LLLWWLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
25/06 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D
17/06 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 85 W
11/06 ToU
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 92 L
05/06 Kings SC
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
31/05 PK-37
Finland Kolmonen
6-2 W
22/05 Jippo II
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
15/05 NiemU
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
06/05 KUPS Akatemia II
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 0-8 32 L
02/05 SC Zulimanit
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jippo II vs Yllatys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jippo II win (53%). Probabilities: Jippo II 53%, draw 21%, Yllatys 26%.

How many goals are expected in Jippo II vs Yllatys?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Jippo II 2.3 · Yllatys 1.59), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jippo II vs Yllatys?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.