Football · Finland Kolmonen · 23/07, 18:00

Prediction: KPV Akatemia vs VPV Pallo-Veikot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.45Total

KPV Akatemia2.09

VPV Pallo-Veikot2.36

1X2

35% 20% 45%

KPV Akatemia Draw VPV Pallo-Veikot

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

KPV Akatemia 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLWLL

VPV Pallo-Veikot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDLDWW

Head-to-head

KPV Akatemia 4–1–1 VPV Pallo-Veikot (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPV Akatemia 1446 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1506

	KPV Akatemia	Draw	VPV Pallo-Veikot
Our model	35%	21%	45%
Market	35%	20%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VPV Pallo-Veikot (rating 1446 vs 1506).
H2H favours KPV Akatemia: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KPV Akatemia	VPV Pallo-Veikot
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 3.4	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/14/57%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.7	1.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X4.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +1’	2.55	4.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPV Akatemia 4–1–1 VPV Pallo-Veikot

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-3 HT 1-0	KPV Akatemia
22/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	KPV Akatemia	2-0 HT 1-0	VPV Pallo-Veikot
25/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	KPV Akatemia	0-3 HT 0-3	VPV Pallo-Veikot
29/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-2 HT 0-0	KPV Akatemia
07/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	KPV Akatemia	4-1 HT 2-0	VPV Pallo-Veikot
16/05/23 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-0 HT 0-0	KPV Akatemia

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	12	10	1	1	44	8	31
2	FC Kiisto	12	8	3	1	34	14	27
3	SIF	13	6	3	4	26	18	21
4	FC Ylivieska	12	6	1	5	37	29	19
5	SJK-j	12	5	3	4	28	17	18
6	VPV Pallo-Veikot	10	5	2	3	18	14	17
7	Virkia	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
8	Nykarleby IK	12	4	4	4	16	27	16
9	Sporting Kristina	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
10	KPV Akatemia	11	2	1	8	27	38	7
11	LBK	12	2	1	9	12	32	7
12	Sääripotku	10	0	1	9	4	51	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPV Akatemia	VPV Pallo-Veikot
SJK-j	3-6 L	2-0 W
SIF	2-3 L	1-1 D
FC Ylivieska	5-3 W	0-4 L
Nykarleby IK	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sääripotku	5-0 W	6-2 W
VIFK	1-7 L	1-2 L
FC Kiisto	4-4 D	0-2 L
Sporting Kristina	1-3 L	1-4 L
LBK	1-2 L	3-1 W
Virkia	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VPV Pallo-Veikot (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPV Akatemia

LLLDLWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-6	2	2	L
01/07	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	1	1	L
23/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	1	7	W
18/06	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
10/06	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
03/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-4	1-7	0	1	L
26/05	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-4	3	3	D
20/05	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
13/05	LBK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/05	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L

VPV Pallo-Veikot

WLLLWDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/06	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
11/06	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
04/06	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	6-2	–	–	W
27/05	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
19/05	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
14/05	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/05	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPV Akatemia vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VPV Pallo-Veikot win (45%). Probabilities: KPV Akatemia 35%, draw 20%, VPV Pallo-Veikot 45%.

How many goals are expected in KPV Akatemia vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

The model expects 4.45 goals (KPV Akatemia 2.09 · VPV Pallo-Veikot 2.36), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KPV Akatemia vs VPV Pallo-Veikot?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.