Prediction: FC Kiisto vs FC Ylivieska
| FC Kiisto | Draw | FC Ylivieska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1587 vs 1492).
- H2H favours FC Kiisto: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kiisto | FC Ylivieska | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 3.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 2.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kiisto 5–0–0 FC Ylivieska
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Finland Kolmonen | FC Ylivieska | 1-5 HT 0-2 | FC Kiisto |
| 19/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 7-2 | FC Ylivieska |
| 26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | FC Ylivieska | 1-5 HT 0-2 | FC Kiisto |
| 16/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 6-0 | FC Ylivieska |
| 09/09/22 Finland Kolmonen | FC Kiisto | 5-2 HT 3-1 | FC Ylivieska |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIFK | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Kiisto | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | SIF | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Ylivieska | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 29 | 19 |
| 5 | SJK-j | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | VPV Pallo-Veikot | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Virkia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | Nykarleby IK | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 16 |
| 9 | Sporting Kristina | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 10 | KPV Akatemia | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 7 |
| 11 | LBK | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 7 |
| 12 | Sääripotku | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Kiisto | FC Ylivieska |
|---|---|---|
| Nykarleby IK | 0-0 D | 4-6 L |
| Sääripotku | 2-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Virkia | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Sporting Kristina | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| LBK | 5-0 W | 4-1 W |
| KPV Akatemia | 4-4 D | 3-5 L |
| VPV Pallo-Veikot | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| SJK-j | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Kiisto (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kiisto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | VIFK Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/05 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
FC Ylivieska
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | LBK Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 23/06 | KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | SJK-j Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | SIF Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Virkia Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen |
3-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kiisto vs FC Ylivieska?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kiisto win (75%). Probabilities: FC Kiisto 75%, draw 13%, FC Ylivieska 11%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kiisto vs FC Ylivieska?
The model expects 4.59 goals (FC Kiisto 3.29 · FC Ylivieska 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kiisto vs FC Ylivieska?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.