Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Team pages: Ferrocarril Midland · Gimnasia y Tiro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Ferrocarril Midland1.24

Gimnasia y Tiro0.85

1X2

44% 32% 24%

Ferrocarril Midland Draw Gimnasia y Tiro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferrocarril Midland 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLDWL

Gimnasia y Tiro 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Ferrocarril Midland 0–1 Gimnasia y Tiro (1 last)

Gimnasia y Tiro1-0Ferrocarril Midland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferrocarril Midland 1490 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1528

	Ferrocarril Midland	Draw	Gimnasia y Tiro
Our model	44%	32%	24%
Market	43%	33%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferrocarril Midland	Gimnasia y Tiro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.88

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.98

Under 1.751.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	2.80 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.22
2	3.40 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.78 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:04 +10’	2.35	2.80	3.40
04:09 +1’	2.15▼	2.88▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:14	1.82	3.31	4.36
02:56 +17’	1.78▼	3.37▲	4.72▲
03:26 +44’	1.86▲	3.25▼	4.44▼
08:34 +37’	1.88▲	3.22▼	4.44
15:38 +42’	1.82▼	3.22	4.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 0–0–1 Gimnasia y Tiro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia y Tiro	1-0 HT 0-0	Ferrocarril Midland

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	34	16	14	4	33	15	62
2	Club Atletico Temperley	34	16	12	6	41	28	60
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	34	16	10	8	51	42	58
4	CA Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40	33	58
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37	31	52
6	Ferrocarril Midland	34	14	9	11	40	29	51
7	CA Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35	31	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40	33	48
9	San Martin SJ	34	12	11	11	36	34	47
10	San Martin de Tucuman	34	11	13	10	38	35	46
11	Atletico Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28	34	45
12	Almagro	34	11	8	15	31	41	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27	38	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30	29	39
15	Patronato Parana	34	7	16	11	29	33	37
16	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26	35	36
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24	33	36
18	CA Guemes	34	6	8	20	25	57	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferrocarril Midland	Gimnasia y Tiro
San Martin de Tucuman	2-3 L	0-1 L
Atletico Rafaela	4-0 W	1-0 W
Agropecuario	0-0 D	0-1 L
Tristan Suarez	0-1 L	0-0 D
CA Guemes	2-0 W	3-1 W
Chacarita Juniors	1-0 W	1-0 W
San Martin SJ	2-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ferrocarril Midland (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferrocarril Midland

LWLLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-3	5	4	L
10/10	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	2-0	4-0	4	2	W
04/10	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
27/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/09	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
06/09	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-3	8	3	L
03/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
29/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
23/08	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	4	5	L

Gimnasia y Tiro

DLWWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
11/10	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
04/10	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
20/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
12/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
29/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
22/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-3	3	0	L
16/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (44%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 44%, draw 32%, Gimnasia y Tiro 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.24 · Gimnasia y Tiro 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.