Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
Team pages: Almagro · Tristan Suarez
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Almagro0.58
Tristan Suarez1.14
1X2
Almagro
Draw
Tristan Suarez
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-1 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Almagro
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tristan Suarez
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almagro
1–2–3
Tristan Suarez
(6 last)
- Tristan Suarez0-0Almagro
- Almagro0-1Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez2-1Almagro
- Almagro1-0Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez1-1Almagro
- Almagro1-3Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almagro 1475 · Tristan Suarez 1548
| Almagro | Draw | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 34% | 48% |
| Market | 19% | 31% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Suarez (rating 1475 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Tristan Suarez: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almagro | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almagro 1–2–3 Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 15/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Almagro |
| 11/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 24/07/21 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 16/03/21 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 62 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 58 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 33 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 52 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 29 | 51 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 50 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 34 | 45 |
| 12 | Almagro | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 41 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 29 | 39 |
| 15 | Patronato Parana | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 35 | 36 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 57 | 26 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almagro | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin SJ | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Patronato Parana | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Colegiales | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Almagro (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tristan Suarez win (49%). Probabilities: Almagro 19%, draw 32%, Tristan Suarez 49%.
How many goals are expected in Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Almagro 0.58 · Tristan Suarez 1.14), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.