Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: Patronato Parana vs Agropecuario
Team pages: Patronato Parana · Agropecuario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Patronato Parana1.4
Agropecuario0.5
1X2
Patronato Parana
Draw
Agropecuario
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Patronato Parana
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Agropecuario
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patronato Parana
1–2–2
Agropecuario
(5 last)
- Agropecuario1-1Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana4-0Agropecuario
- Agropecuario1-0Patronato Parana
- Patronato Parana1-1Agropecuario
- Agropecuario2-1Patronato Parana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patronato Parana 1491 · Agropecuario 1493
| Patronato Parana | Draw | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 30% | 12% |
| Market | 59% | 27% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Agropecuario: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patronato Parana | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 2.5 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.6 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patronato Parana 1–2–2 Agropecuario
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Patronato Parana |
| 23/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Agropecuario |
| 02/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 16/10/23 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Agropecuario |
| 03/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Patronato Parana |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 62 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 58 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 33 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 52 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 29 | 51 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 50 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 34 | 45 |
| 12 | Almagro | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 41 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 29 | 39 |
| 15 | Patronato Parana | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 35 | 36 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 57 | 26 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patronato Parana | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Atlanta | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Patronato Parana (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 04/10 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
Agropecuario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patronato Parana vs Agropecuario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patronato Parana win (59%). Probabilities: Patronato Parana 59%, draw 28%, Agropecuario 13%.
How many goals are expected in Patronato Parana vs Agropecuario?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Patronato Parana 1.4 · Agropecuario 0.5), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Patronato Parana vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.