Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Madryn vs CA San Telmo
Team pages: Deportivo Madryn · CA San Telmo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Deportivo Madryn1.7
CA San Telmo0.6
1X2
Deportivo Madryn
Draw
CA San Telmo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Madryn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CA San Telmo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Madryn
1–2–2
CA San Telmo
(5 last)
- CA San Telmo0-0Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn1-0CA San Telmo
- CA San Telmo2-1Deportivo Madryn
- CA San Telmo2-1Deportivo Madryn
- CA San Telmo0-0Deportivo Madryn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Madryn 1528 · CA San Telmo 1496
| Deportivo Madryn | Draw | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 25% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 26% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA San Telmo: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Madryn | CA San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Madryn 1–2–2 CA San Telmo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Madryn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 28/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 06/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
| 05/02/21 Argentina Play-Offs | CA San Telmo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Madryn |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 65 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 54 |
| 5 | Colon | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 54 |
| 6 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 51 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 24 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 48 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 26 | 25 | 41 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 40 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 40 | 40 |
| 12 | Club Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 39 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 37 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 37 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 37 | 37 |
| 16 | All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 19 | 29 | 35 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 33 |
| 18 | CA San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Madryn | CA San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Almirante Brown | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Madryn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
CA San Telmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Madryn vs CA San Telmo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Madryn win (63%). Probabilities: Deportivo Madryn 63%, draw 26%, CA San Telmo 12%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Madryn vs CA San Telmo?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Deportivo Madryn 1.7 · CA San Telmo 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Madryn vs CA San Telmo?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.