Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs San Martin SJ

Team pages: Nueva Chicago · San Martin SJ

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.74Total

Nueva Chicago0.96

San Martin SJ0.78

1X2

38% 34% 28%

Nueva Chicago Draw San Martin SJ

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Nueva Chicago 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDWLLL

San Martin SJ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLLDD

Head-to-head

Nueva Chicago 1–2–3 San Martin SJ (6 last)

San Martin SJ1-0Nueva Chicago
San Martin SJ1-0Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago2-1San Martin SJ
Nueva Chicago0-0San Martin SJ
San Martin SJ0-0Nueva Chicago
San Martin SJ3-1Nueva Chicago

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1437 · San Martin SJ 1511

	Nueva Chicago	Draw	San Martin SJ
Our model	37%	36%	27%
Market	38%	33%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.74 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin SJ (rating 1437 vs 1511).
H2H favours San Martin SJ: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nueva Chicago	San Martin SJ
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.80

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.75 ★
X	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.86
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +6’	2.40	2.80	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:41 +33’	2.73	2.83	2.82
02:43 +30’	2.75▲	2.86▲	2.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 1.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 1–2–3 San Martin SJ

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	1-0 HT 1-0	Nueva Chicago
01/12/24 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	1-0 HT 1-0	Nueva Chicago
24/11/24 Argentina Nacional B	Nueva Chicago	2-1 HT 0-1	San Martin SJ
16/08/23 Argentina Nacional B	Nueva Chicago	0-0 HT 0-0	San Martin SJ
06/04/23 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	0-0 HT 0-0	Nueva Chicago
21/05/22 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	3-1 HT 1-1	Nueva Chicago

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	34	16	14	4	33	15	62
2	Club Atletico Temperley	34	16	12	6	41	28	60
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	34	16	10	8	51	42	58
4	CA Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40	33	58
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37	31	52
6	Ferrocarril Midland	34	14	9	11	40	29	51
7	CA Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35	31	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40	33	48
9	San Martin SJ	34	12	11	11	36	34	47
10	San Martin de Tucuman	34	11	13	10	38	35	46
11	Atletico Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28	34	45
12	Almagro	34	11	8	15	31	41	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27	38	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30	29	39
15	Patronato Parana	34	7	16	11	29	33	37
16	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26	35	36
17	Nueva Chicago	34	9	9	16	24	33	36
18	CA Guemes	34	6	8	20	25	57	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nueva Chicago	San Martin SJ
Club Atletico Temperley	1-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Maipu	0-1 L	1-1 D
Almagro	1-0 W	1-2 L
Patronato Parana	1-1 D	0-3 L
CA Colegiales	0-1 L	2-0 W
Quilmes	1-0 W	0-1 L
Ferrocarril Midland	0-2 L	3-2 W
CA Atlanta	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin SJ (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nueva Chicago

LLLWLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
11/10	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
05/10	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
27/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
22/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
07/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
22/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
17/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

San Martin SJ

WWWLDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
11/10	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
04/10	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
27/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
20/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
16/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
12/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
06/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
22/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin SJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Chicago win (38%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 38%, draw 34%, San Martin SJ 28%.

How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin SJ?

The model expects 1.74 goals (Nueva Chicago 0.96 · San Martin SJ 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin SJ?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.