Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 13/08, 22:30

Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs LDU Portoviejo

Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · LDU Portoviejo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Vinotinto Ecuador1.36

LDU Portoviejo0.67

1X2

53% 29% 18%

Vinotinto Ecuador Draw LDU Portoviejo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Vinotinto Ecuador 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLLLW

LDU Portoviejo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Vinotinto Ecuador 0–1 LDU Portoviejo (1 last)

LDU Portoviejo1-0Vinotinto Ecuador

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vinotinto Ecuador 1489 · LDU Portoviejo 1475

	Vinotinto Ecuador	Draw	LDU Portoviejo
Our model	52%	31%	17%
Market	54%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vinotinto Ecuador	LDU Portoviejo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/11/33%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	6.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.25

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +14’	1.67	3.25	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 0–0–1 LDU Portoviejo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo	1-0 HT 0-0	Vinotinto Ecuador

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Juniors	20	10	7	3	25	13	37
2	Club 9 de Octubre	20	9	8	3	20	12	35
3	Atletico FC Guayaquil	20	8	10	2	22	14	34
4	CD Cuenca Jrs	20	8	7	5	19	20	31
5	Vinotinto Ecuador	20	8	5	7	25	17	29
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	20	6	9	5	23	21	27
7	Cumbaya	20	5	10	5	19	16	25
8	CD Vargas Torres	20	6	8	6	14	13	23
9	LDU Portoviejo	20	6	5	9	15	22	23
10	Gualaceo SC	20	6	7	7	16	16	19
11	22 de Julio	20	4	3	13	10	28	9
12	El Nacional	20	2	5	13	14	30	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vinotinto Ecuador	LDU Portoviejo
CD Cuenca Jrs	2-0 W	0-1 L
San Antonio FC Cotacachi	0-1 L	2-4 L
Independiente Juniors	0-2 L	0-1 L
El Nacional	2-1 W	1-0 W
Gualaceo SC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Club 9 de Octubre	1-2 L	1-1 D
Cumbaya	1-1 D	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vinotinto Ecuador

WDLLWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
05/08	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador Cup	1-2	2-3	1	5	L
29/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
23/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
15/07	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
11/07	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/07	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
09/06	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	1-2	1	7	L
04/06	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/05	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	3-0	5	2	W

LDU Portoviejo

WWLDLLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
06/08	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador Cup	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
30/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
25/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
17/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
09/07	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
04/07	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
10/06	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-3	2-4	9	5	L
06/06	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/05	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs LDU Portoviejo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (53%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 53%, draw 29%, LDU Portoviejo 18%.

How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.36 · LDU Portoviejo 0.67), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.