Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 22/08, 09:00
Prediction: Subiaco AFC vs Cockburn City
Team pages: Subiaco AFC · Cockburn City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Subiaco AFC1.92
Cockburn City1.69
1X2
Subiaco AFC
Draw
Cockburn City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Subiaco AFC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Cockburn City
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Subiaco AFC
2–4
Cockburn City
(6 last)
- Cockburn City2-1Subiaco AFC
- Cockburn City4-2Subiaco AFC
- Cockburn City1-2Subiaco AFC
- Subiaco AFC0-2Cockburn City
- Cockburn City2-1Subiaco AFC
- Cockburn City0-1Subiaco AFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Subiaco AFC 1474 · Cockburn City 1485
| Subiaco AFC | Draw | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cockburn City: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Subiaco AFC | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.2 | 3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Subiaco AFC 2–0–4 Cockburn City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Cockburn City | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Subiaco AFC |
| 21/02/25 Australia Friendlies | Cockburn City | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Subiaco AFC |
| 20/07/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Cockburn City | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Subiaco AFC |
| 26/05/18 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Subiaco AFC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cockburn City |
| 24/02/18 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Cockburn City | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Subiaco AFC |
| 10/02/18 Australia Pre-Season Cup | Cockburn City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Subiaco AFC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 20 | 51 |
| 2 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 33 |
| 5 | Quinns FC | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 33 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 30 |
| 7 | Kingsley Westside | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 29 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 24 |
| 9 | Cockburn City | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 47 | 23 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 43 | 22 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 46 | 17 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | 13 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Subiaco AFC | Cockburn City |
|---|---|---|
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Curtin University SC | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Floreat Athena | 1-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Inglewood United | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Joondalup City | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Quinns FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Mandurah City | 3-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Subiaco AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
Cockburn City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-5 | 1-7 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Subiaco AFC vs Cockburn City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Subiaco AFC win (43%). Probabilities: Subiaco AFC 43%, draw 24%, Cockburn City 33%.
How many goals are expected in Subiaco AFC vs Cockburn City?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Subiaco AFC 1.92 · Cockburn City 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Subiaco AFC vs Cockburn City?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.