Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Joondalup City vs UWA-Nedlands FC

Team pages: Joondalup City · UWA-Nedlands FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Joondalup City1.37

UWA-Nedlands FC1.84

1X2

28% 23% 48%

Joondalup City Draw UWA-Nedlands FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Joondalup City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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UWA-Nedlands FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Joondalup City 2–2–2 UWA-Nedlands FC (6 last)

UWA-Nedlands FC1-1Joondalup City
UWA-Nedlands FC2-2Joondalup City
Joondalup City3-1UWA-Nedlands FC
Joondalup City1-0UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC1-0Joondalup City
UWA-Nedlands FC3-1Joondalup City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joondalup City 1539 · UWA-Nedlands FC 1528

	Joondalup City	Draw	UWA-Nedlands FC
Our model	28%	25%	48%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Joondalup City	UWA-Nedlands FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.00

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:34 +7’	3.10	4.00	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Joondalup City 2–2–2 UWA-Nedlands FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Joondalup City
13/09/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Joondalup City
06/09/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Joondalup City	3-1 HT 1-0	UWA-Nedlands FC
12/07/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Joondalup City	1-0 HT 0-0	UWA-Nedlands FC
29/03/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Joondalup City
16/09/17 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Joondalup City

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	21	16	3	2	53	20	51
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	21	14	2	5	47	25	44
3	Joondalup City	21	11	3	7	36	31	36
4	Mandurah City	21	10	3	8	44	38	33
5	Quinns FC	21	10	3	8	31	36	33
6	Inglewood United	21	8	6	7	22	24	30
7	Kingsley Westside	21	9	2	10	34	33	29
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	21	6	6	9	32	43	24
9	Cockburn City	21	6	5	10	34	47	23
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	21	5	7	9	37	43	22
11	Subiaco AFC	21	5	2	14	34	46	17
12	Curtin University SC	21	3	4	14	19	37	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Joondalup City	UWA-Nedlands FC
Curtin University SC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Inglewood United	1-1 D	1-3 L
Cockburn City	1-3 L	2-1 W
Kingsley Westside	2-2 D	3-0 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	3-2 W	3-0 W
Mandurah City	1-2 L	3-0 W
Quinns FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Subiaco AFC	4-1 W	0-2 L
Floreat Athena	3-1 W	3-2 W
Gwelup Croatia SC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UWA-Nedlands FC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joondalup City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
01/08	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
25/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
11/07	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
27/06	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
20/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

UWA-Nedlands FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
01/08	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
25/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
18/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
27/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joondalup City vs UWA-Nedlands FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UWA-Nedlands FC win (48%). Probabilities: Joondalup City 28%, draw 23%, UWA-Nedlands FC 48%.

How many goals are expected in Joondalup City vs UWA-Nedlands FC?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Joondalup City 1.37 · UWA-Nedlands FC 1.84), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Joondalup City vs UWA-Nedlands FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.