Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC vs Curtin University SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

UWA-Nedlands FC2.55

Curtin University SC0.79

1X2

76% 15% 9%

UWA-Nedlands FC Draw Curtin University SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

UWA-Nedlands FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Curtin University SC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDLLL

Head-to-head

UWA-Nedlands FC 4–1–0 Curtin University SC (5 last)

Curtin University SC0-3UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC1-1Curtin University SC
Curtin University SC3-4UWA-Nedlands FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC 1549 · Curtin University SC 1406

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Draw	Curtin University SC
Our model	75%	17%	9%
Market	76%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UWA-Nedlands FC (rating 1549 vs 1406).
H2H favours UWA-Nedlands FC: 4-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Curtin University SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 8	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.80

2 (+2)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +1’	1.18	6.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC 4–1–0 Curtin University SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Curtin University SC	0-3 HT 0-2	UWA-Nedlands FC
16/08/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Curtin University SC
31/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Curtin University SC	3-4 HT 0-3	UWA-Nedlands FC
10/02/24 Australia Friendlies	Curtin University SC	1-2 HT 0-1	UWA-Nedlands FC
26/02/21 Australia Friendlies	Curtin University SC	1-7 HT 0-4	UWA-Nedlands FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	17	11	3	3	38	19	36
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	17	11	2	4	39	22	35
3	Joondalup City	17	11	1	5	33	23	34
4	Mandurah City	17	10	2	5	42	31	32
5	Inglewood United	17	8	3	6	17	18	27
6	Kingsley Westside	17	8	1	8	27	24	25
7	Gwelup Croatia SC	17	5	6	6	25	31	21
8	Quinns FC	17	6	3	8	22	33	21
9	Cockburn City	17	5	4	8	28	35	19
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	17	3	7	7	28	34	16
11	Subiaco AFC	17	4	1	12	28	40	13
12	Curtin University SC	17	2	3	12	14	31	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UWA-Nedlands FC	Curtin University SC
Inglewood United	1-3 L	0-1 L
Quinns FC	1-2 L	2-2 D
Kingsley Westside	3-0 W	0-1 L
Cockburn City	2-1 W	3-4 L
Gwelup Croatia SC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Floreat Athena	3-2 W	0-4 L
Joondalup City	1-1 D	0-2 L
Subiaco AFC	3-2 W	2-0 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	3-0 W	2-3 L
Mandurah City	1-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: UWA-Nedlands FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UWA-Nedlands FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
27/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
06/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
30/05	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
23/05	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
16/05	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-3	–	–	L

Curtin University SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	3-4	–	–	L
11/07	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
04/07	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-3	3-4	6	4	L
27/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/06	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
13/06	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/05	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
23/05	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
15/05	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-3	4	11	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Curtin University SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UWA-Nedlands FC win (76%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC 76%, draw 15%, Curtin University SC 9%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Curtin University SC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC 2.55 · Curtin University SC 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Curtin University SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.