Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Floreat Athena vs Quinns FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Floreat Athena2.64
Quinns FC1.22
1X2
Floreat Athena
Draw
Quinns FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Floreat Athena
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Quinns FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Floreat Athena 1540 · Quinns FC 1490
| Floreat Athena | Draw | Quinns FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floreat Athena (rating 1540 vs 1490).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Floreat Athena | Quinns FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.8 |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Floreat Athena | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 31 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 29 |
| 5 | Kingsley Westside | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 25 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 21 |
| 8 | Cockburn City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 19 |
| 9 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 18 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 16 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 39 | 10 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Floreat Athena | Quinns FC |
|---|---|---|
| Curtin University SC | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Inglewood United | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Joondalup City | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mandurah City | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Cockburn City | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Kingsley Westside | 4-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Subiaco AFC | 5-4 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Floreat Athena (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Floreat Athena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
3-1 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
Quinns FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 0-7 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Floreat Athena vs Quinns FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Floreat Athena win (67%). Probabilities: Floreat Athena 67%, draw 18%, Quinns FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Floreat Athena vs Quinns FC?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Floreat Athena 2.64 · Quinns FC 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Floreat Athena vs Quinns FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.