Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 17/07, 14:30
Prediction: Sorrento (W) vs Perth SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Sorrento (W)0.82
Perth SC (W)2.82
1X2
Sorrento (W)
Draw
Perth SC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sorrento (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Perth SC (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sorrento (W)
0–2
Perth SC (W)
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorrento (W) 1420 · Perth SC (W) 1642
| Sorrento (W) | Draw | Perth SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (W) (rating 1420 vs 1642).
- H2H favours Perth SC (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sorrento (W) | Perth SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 4.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento (W) 0–0–2 Perth SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth SC (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Sorrento (W) |
| 06/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Perth SC (W) |
Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth SC (W) | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 2 | Fremantle City FC (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Balcatta FC (W) | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 19 |
| 5 | Hyundai NTC Women | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 17 |
| 6 | Subiaco AFC (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 14 |
| 7 | Sorrento (W) | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 9 |
| 8 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 42 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sorrento (W) | Perth SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Subiaco AFC (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Balcatta FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Perth Redstar FC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Fremantle City FC (W) | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Hyundai NTC Women | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Perth SC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorrento (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Perth SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Fremantle City 2 Women Australia WA State Cup Women |
6-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorrento (W) vs Perth SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth SC (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Sorrento (W) 8%, draw 13%, Perth SC (W) 79%.
How many goals are expected in Sorrento (W) vs Perth SC (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Sorrento (W) 0.82 · Perth SC (W) 2.82), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sorrento (W) vs Perth SC (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.