Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 25/07, 11:00

Prediction: Perth Redstar FC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Perth Redstar FC (W)1.59

Balcatta FC (W)1.58

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Perth Redstar FC (W) Draw Balcatta FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Redstar FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWDLLW

Balcatta FC (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Perth Redstar FC (W) 2–4 Balcatta FC (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1492 · Balcatta FC (W) 1564

	Perth Redstar FC (W)	Draw	Balcatta FC (W)
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balcatta FC (W) (rating 1492 vs 1564).
H2H favours Balcatta FC (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth Redstar FC (W)	Balcatta FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	4.1 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:08 +1’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Redstar FC (W) 2–0–4 Balcatta FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Perth Redstar FC (W)
22/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Perth Redstar FC (W)
13/09/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	1-5 HT 1-0	Balcatta FC (W)
24/08/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Perth Redstar FC (W)
06/08/25 Australia WA State Cup Women	Balcatta FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Perth Redstar FC (W)
06/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth Redstar FC (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Balcatta FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	16	13	3	0	35	4	42
2	Fremantle City FC (W)	16	10	3	3	36	16	33
3	Balcatta FC (W)	16	9	5	2	36	13	32
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	15	6	4	5	25	18	22
5	Hyundai NTC Women	16	4	5	7	25	31	17
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	15	4	2	9	17	31	14
7	Sorrento (W)	16	2	3	11	15	39	9
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	16	1	3	12	7	44	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Redstar FC (W)	Balcatta FC (W)
Hyundai NTC Women	3-1 W	4-1 W
Fremantle City FC (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Perth SC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Sorrento (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Subiaco AFC (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Balcatta FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth Redstar FC (W)

LDWWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	1	0	W
12/07	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
05/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
28/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
21/06	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
31/05	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-4	7	1	L
24/05	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
02/05	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/04	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	5	0	L

Balcatta FC (W)

WDLDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
12/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	4-1	5	0	W
05/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
28/06	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
20/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
13/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
31/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
24/05	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
15/05	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-3	3-3	7	3	D
03/05	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Redstar FC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth Redstar FC (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Perth Redstar FC (W) 38%, draw 25%, Balcatta FC (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Perth Redstar FC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Perth Redstar FC (W) 1.59 · Balcatta FC (W) 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth Redstar FC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.